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Burgess Hill vs Aveley - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Burgess Hill host Aveley in the Isthmian League Premier Division. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Burgess Hill have averaged 1.72 scored and 1.52 conceded recently, against Aveley's 2.21 scored and 1.82 conceded. Past meetings favor Burgess Hill slightly — 2-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 20, 2025, ending 2:5. xG projections (1.94 - 1.88) back Burgess Hill to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Burgess Hill
15%
Draws
20%
Aveley
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Burgess Hill

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Aveley carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Burgess Hill a 65% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Burgess Hill Clean Sheet 10%
Aveley Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burgess Hill Aveley
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 14 17
Draws 5 3
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.72 2.21
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 20, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Burgess Hill vs Aveley
2:5
Aug 15, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Aveley vs Burgess Hill
3:3
Oct 28, 2017 FA Trophy
Burgess Hill vs Aveley
2:0
Oct 18, 2014 FA Trophy
Burgess Hill vs Aveley
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burgess Hill 83 / 100
Aveley 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burgess Hill Aveley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burgess Hill Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Aveley conceded in 82% of 33 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Burgess Hill scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Burgess Hill stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Burgess Hill VS Aveley
2 Goals Scored 2.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Burgess Hill

(Home)
03 Oct
Burgess Hill
4 : 1
Maldon & Tiptree
26 Sept
Burgess Hill
6 : 2
Winslow United
19 Sept
Hanwell Town
2 : 1
Burgess Hill
15 Sept
Jersey Bulls
1 : 3
Burgess Hill
12 Sept
Burgess Hill
2 : 2
Ramsgate
Page 1 of 6

Aveley

(Away)
29 Sept
Dulwich Hamlet
2 : 0
Aveley
25 Sept
Aveley
3 : 1
Ware
19 Sept
Aveley
2 : 3
Brentwood
14 Sept
Aveley
3 : 4
Wingate & Finchley
12 Sept
Aveley
1 : 2
Leatherhead
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Welling 9 7 0 2 19:9 21
2 Dartford 9 7 0 2 15:9 21
3 Carshalton 10 7 0 3 18:15 21
4 Lewes 10 6 1 3 15:11 19
5 Enfield Town 8 6 0 2 23:11 18
6 Dulwich Hamlet 8 5 1 2 18:9 16
7 Leatherhead 9 4 3 2 17:15 15
8 St. Albans 8 4 2 2 17:13 14
9 Ramsgate 9 4 1 4 21:13 13
10 Burgess Hill 8 3 4 1 15:10 13
11 Eastbourne Borough 8 4 1 3 14:11 13
12 Cray Wanderers 8 3 3 2 18:12 12
13 Chatham 8 4 0 4 16:13 12
14 Wingate & Finchley 8 3 2 3 13:18 11
15 Aveley 9 3 1 5 16:16 10
16 Brentwood 9 3 0 6 15:16 9
17 Maldon & Tiptree 10 3 0 7 14:30 9
18 Cheshunt 9 1 5 3 7:12 8
19 Whyteleafe 10 1 3 6 11:20 6
20 Three Bridges 9 1 2 6 16:28 5
21 Whitehawk 10 1 2 7 10:22 5
22 Stanway Rovers 8 1 1 6 6:21 4
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)