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Burgess Hill vs Maldon & Tiptree Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division
Sat, Oct 3, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Burgess Hill host Maldon & Tiptree in the Isthmian League Premier Division. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Burgess Hill at 1.64 goals for, 1.54 against; Maldon & Tiptree at 1.19 for, 2.33 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (2.44 - 1.38) back Burgess Hill to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Burgess Hill
20%
Draws
22%
Maldon & Tiptree
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Burgess Hill

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Maldon & Tiptree haven't matched Burgess Hill's recent run of results.
  • Burgess Hill are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Burgess Hill Clean Sheet 17%
Maldon & Tiptree Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burgess Hill Maldon & Tiptree
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 13 10
Draws 5 1
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.64 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.54 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burgess Hill 84 / 100
Maldon & Tiptree 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burgess Hill Maldon & Tiptree

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burgess Hill Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Burgess Hill found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Maldon & Tiptree let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.

Burgess Hill went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Maldon & Tiptree registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Burgess Hill VS Maldon & Tiptree
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Burgess Hill

(Home)
26 Sept
Burgess Hill
6 : 2
Winslow United
19 Sept
Hanwell Town
2 : 1
Burgess Hill
15 Sept
Jersey Bulls
1 : 3
Burgess Hill
12 Sept
Burgess Hill
2 : 2
Ramsgate
05 Sept
Burgess Hill
0 : 0
Jersey Bulls
Page 1 of 6

Maldon & Tiptree

(Away)
26 Sept
Maldon & Tiptree
0 : 2
Egham Town
22 Sept
Brentwood
5 : 1
Maldon & Tiptree
19 Sept
Maldon & Tiptree
2 : 3
Carshalton
15 Sept
Ramsgate
2 : 0
Maldon & Tiptree
12 Sept
Maldon & Tiptree
3 : 2
Whitehawk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Enfield Town 8 6 0 2 23:11 18
2 Welling 8 6 0 2 18:9 18
3 Dartford 8 6 0 2 13:8 18
4 Carshalton 9 6 0 3 15:13 18
5 Lewes 9 5 1 3 14:11 16
6 Leatherhead 9 4 3 2 17:15 15
7 St. Albans 8 4 2 2 17:13 14
8 Ramsgate 8 4 1 3 19:10 13
9 Dulwich Hamlet 7 4 1 2 16:9 13
10 Eastbourne Borough 8 4 1 3 14:11 13
11 Chatham 8 4 0 4 16:13 12
12 Wingate & Finchley 8 3 2 3 13:18 11
13 Aveley 8 3 1 4 16:14 10
14 Burgess Hill 7 2 4 1 11:9 10
15 Cray Wanderers 7 2 3 2 13:11 9
16 Maldon & Tiptree 8 3 0 5 12:21 9
17 Cheshunt 9 1 5 3 7:12 8
18 Brentwood 8 2 0 6 13:15 6
19 Whyteleafe 8 1 3 4 10:17 6
20 Whitehawk 8 1 2 5 9:19 5
21 Three Bridges 9 1 2 6 16:28 5
22 Stanway Rovers 8 1 1 6 6:21 4
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)