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Burghausen vs Ostermiething

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Burghausen and Ostermiething finished 5-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Burghausen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Burghausen
20%
Draws
40%
Ostermiething
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Ostermiething carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Burghausen are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Burghausen Clean Sheet 14%
Ostermiething Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burghausen Ostermiething
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 12 13
Draws 7 2
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.77 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2026 Club Friendly
Burghausen vs Ostermiething
5:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burghausen 57 / 100
Ostermiething 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burghausen Ostermiething

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burghausen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ostermiething conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 9.00 goals per match.

Burghausen found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Solid form: Burghausen remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Burghausen VS Ostermiething
2.38 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Burghausen

(Home)
19 Sept
Burghausen
5 : 2
Augsburg II
15 Sept
Memmingen
0 : 0
Burghausen
11 Sept
Burghausen
1 : 2
Landsberg
04 Sept
Bayreuth
2 : 4
Burghausen
29 Aug
Burghausen
4 : 5
Vilzing
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Ostermiething

(Away)
19 Sept
Bad Ischl
2 : 0
Ostermiething
15 Sept
Vocklamarkt
2 : 2
Ostermiething
11 Sept
Ostermiething
3 : 2
Pregarten
04 Sept
Union Weisskirchen
1 : 2
Ostermiething
29 Aug
Ostermiething
1 : 2
Union Edelweiss Linz
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