Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Burgos CF B vs Deportivo Fabril

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Ribas I.
18' Event
Rodrigues D.
34' Event
Rodrigues D.

AI Match Summary

Deportivo Fabril in this Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Deportivo Fabril.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Burgos CF B
6%
Draws
90%
Deportivo Fabril
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Deportivo Fabril

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Deportivo Fabril lately — more wins on the board than Burgos CF B.
  • Model gives Deportivo Fabril a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Burgos CF B Clean Sheet 12%
Deportivo Fabril Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burgos CF B Deportivo Fabril
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 15
Draws 9 9
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.13 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Burgos CF B vs Deportivo Fabril
1:4
Sep 7, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Deportivo Fabril vs Burgos CF B
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Burgos CF B Compare

Top Goalscorer Ribas I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Deportivo Fabril Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodrigues D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Dominguez D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burgos CF B 10 / 100
Deportivo Fabril 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burgos CF B Deportivo Fabril

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Burgos CF B scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Burgos CF B has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Deportivo Fabril conceded in 52% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Burgos CF B VS Deportivo Fabril
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Burgos CF B

(Home)
03 May
Valladolid Promesas
2 : 0
Burgos CF B
26 Apr
Burgos CF B
2 : 1
Salamanca CF UDS
18 Apr
Atletico Astorga
0 : 0
Burgos CF B
12 Apr
Burgos CF B
1 : 0
Coruxo FC
05 Apr
Burgos CF B
1 : 4
Deportivo Fabril
Page 1 of 6

Deportivo Fabril

(Away)
03 May
Real Avila
0 : 4
Deportivo Fabril
26 Apr
Deportivo Fabril
0 : 1
Valladolid Promesas
19 Apr
Salamanca CF UDS
0 : 1
Deportivo Fabril
12 Apr
Deportivo Fabril
3 : 0
UD Ourense
05 Apr
Burgos CF B
1 : 4
Deportivo Fabril
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Deportivo Fabril34209559:2269
2Real Oviedo B341610850:3558
3Numancia341511846:3156
4UD Ourense341510940:3455
5Coruxo FC341571246:3752
6Gimnastica Segoviana341491137:3651
7Real Avila341481248:5250
8Salamanca CF UDS341481243:3650
9Rayo Cantabria341115863:5048
10Bergantinos341391244:3748
11Atletico Astorga341291341:4345
12Marino De Luanco3411121131:2645
13Valladolid Promesas341291359:5845
14Langreo3411101335:4143
15Sarriana341171642:4240
16Burgos CF B348121438:5536
17Lealtad34772031:5428
18UD Samano34362523:8715
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)