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Burgos CF B vs Santa Marta Tormes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Burgos CF B host Santa Marta Tormes in the Tercera RFEF - Group 8. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Santa Marta Tormes have shipped 1.07 goals a game lately, while Burgos CF B have conceded 1.33 and scored 1.23. Past meetings favor Burgos CF B slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 16, 2025, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.27 vs 0.71, favoring Santa Marta Tormes. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Burgos CF B
15%
Draws
35%
Santa Marta Tormes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Burgos CF B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Santa Marta Tormes carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Burgos CF B are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Burgos CF B Clean Sheet 20%
Santa Marta Tormes Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burgos CF B Santa Marta Tormes
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.23 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.27 0.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Burgos CF B vs Santa Marta Tormes
1:1
Oct 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Santa Marta Tormes vs Burgos CF B
0:0
Feb 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Burgos CF B vs Santa Marta Tormes
1:1
Sep 23, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Santa Marta Tormes vs Burgos CF B
1:2
Feb 22, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Burgos CF B vs Santa Marta Tormes
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burgos CF B 76 / 100
Santa Marta Tormes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burgos CF B Santa Marta Tormes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burgos CF B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Burgos CF B remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Burgos CF B scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Santa Marta Tormes conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Burgos CF B VS Santa Marta Tormes
1.29 Goals Scored 1.13
0.29 Goals Conceded 1.25
43% Over 1.5 88%
43% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Burgos CF B

(Home)
03 Oct
Mirandes B
1 : 2
Burgos CF B
27 Sept
Leonesa B
0 : 0
Burgos CF B
20 Sept
Burgos CF B
3 : 0
Palencia CF
12 Sept
Colegios Diocesanos
0 : 3
Burgos CF B
06 Sept
Burgos CF B
1 : 0
Villaralbo
Page 1 of 6

Santa Marta Tormes

(Away)
04 Oct
Santa Marta Tormes
2 : 0
Leonesa B
01 Oct
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 2
Salamanca CF UDS
27 Sept
Palencia CF
3 : 0
Santa Marta Tormes
20 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
3 : 0
Colegios Diocesanos
16 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 0
Bergantinos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burgos CF B 5 4 1 0 9:1 13
2 Santa Marta Tormes 5 4 0 1 8:4 12
3 Mansilles 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
4 Bembibre 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
5 Palencia CA 5 3 1 1 6:3 10
6 Leonesa B 5 3 1 1 4:2 10
7 La Virgen 5 3 0 2 7:5 9
8 Arandina 5 2 2 1 7:6 8
9 Almazan 5 1 4 0 8:7 7
10 Palencia CF 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
11 Calasanz de Soria 5 2 1 2 7:9 7
12 Villaralbo 5 1 2 2 9:7 5
13 Salamanca CF UDS B 5 1 1 3 6:11 4
14 Guijuelo 4 1 0 3 4:5 3
15 Turegano 5 0 2 3 3:7 2
16 Unionistas de Salamanca B 5 0 2 3 4:9 2
17 Mirandes B 5 0 1 4 2:7 1
18 Colegios Diocesanos 5 0 1 4 1:10 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 (Play Offs)