Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Burgos CF vs AD Ceuta

Spain Spain

LaLiga2 Estadio El Plantío, Burgos
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Hernandez C.
Assist: Zalazar K.
20' Event
Dadie Izagirre A.
Assist: Karrikaburu J.
27'
Okoro C.

AI Match Summary

Burgos CF in this LaLiga2 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Burgos CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Burgos CF
30%
Draws
19%
AD Ceuta
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Burgos CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Burgos CF have won more games recently than AD Ceuta.
  • Model gives Burgos CF a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular LaLiga2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Burgos CF Clean Sheet 68%
AD Ceuta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burgos CF AD Ceuta
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 10
Draws 9 6
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 1.24 1.18
Goals Conceded 0.69 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 LaLiga2
Burgos CF vs AD Ceuta
3:1
Apr 1, 2026 LaLiga2
Burgos CF vs AD Ceuta
1:1
Nov 29, 2025 LaLiga2
AD Ceuta vs Burgos CF
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Burgos CF Compare

Top Goalscorer Dadie Izagirre A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Karrikaburu J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

AD Ceuta Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burgos CF 95 / 100
AD Ceuta 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burgos CF AD Ceuta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burgos CF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Ceuta has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Burgos CF remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Burgos CF scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Burgos CF VS AD Ceuta
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Burgos CF

(Home)
27 Sept
Burgos CF
1 : 0
Eldense
20 Sept
Las Palmas
1 : 2
Burgos CF
11 Sept
Burgos CF
3 : 1
AD Ceuta
06 Sept
Real Oviedo
0 : 0
Burgos CF
31 Aug
Burgos CF
2 : 2
Real Sociedad B
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AD Ceuta

(Away)
26 Sept
AD Ceuta
3 : 1
Real Sociedad B
20 Sept
AD Ceuta
1 : 1
Valladolid
11 Sept
Burgos CF
3 : 1
AD Ceuta
05 Sept
AD Ceuta
0 : 2
Celta Vigo B
30 Aug
Mallorca
3 : 0
AD Ceuta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eibar 7 6 0 1 15:6 18
2 Castellon 6 5 1 0 12:2 16
3 Almeria 7 5 0 2 11:4 15
4 Burgos CF 7 4 2 1 11:7 14
5 Girona 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
6 Mallorca 7 4 1 2 8:3 13
7 Sabadell 7 3 3 1 8:6 12
8 Real Oviedo 7 3 2 2 7:4 11
9 Leganes 6 3 2 1 6:5 11
10 Tenerife 7 3 2 2 8:9 11
11 Las Palmas 7 3 1 3 10:11 10
12 Gijon 7 3 1 3 5:6 10
13 Granada CF 7 2 2 3 10:11 8
14 Real Sociedad B 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
15 Celta Vigo B 7 2 2 3 8:11 8
16 Valladolid 7 2 2 3 6:9 8
17 FC Andorra 7 2 0 5 12:15 6
18 Cordoba 7 2 0 5 10:16 6
19 Eldense 7 1 2 4 4:9 5
20 Cadiz 7 0 4 3 7:10 4
21 AD Ceuta 7 1 1 5 6:17 4
22 Albacete 7 0 1 6 4:12 1
Promotion - LaLiga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs)