Sport Picks

Spain

LaLiga2 2025/2026 Estadio El Plantío

Burgos CF

1 - 1

AD Ceuta

Our Tip

Match Events

22'

Bassinga A.

Assist: Kone K.

31'

Gonzalez M.

Assist: Exposito M.

45'

Exposito M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this LaLiga2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Burgos CF

28%

Draws

22%

AD Ceuta

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Burgos CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Burgos CF have won more games recently than AD Ceuta.
Win probability leans Burgos CF's way, sitting at 50%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%

Burgos CF Clean Sheet 68%

AD Ceuta Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Burgos CF	AD Ceuta
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	15	13
Draws	8	7
Losses	7	11
Goals Scored	1	0.88
Goals Conceded	0.88	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2026 LaLiga2

Burgos CF vs AD Ceuta

Possession: 58% - 40% Cards: 4 - 1

1:1

Nov 29, 2025 LaLiga2

AD Ceuta vs Burgos CF

Possession: 51% - 44% Cards: 1 - 4

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Burgos CF Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

AD Ceuta Compare

Top Goalscorer Bassinga A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burgos CF 59 / 100

AD Ceuta 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Burgos CF AD Ceuta

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BUR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Burgos CF stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Burgos CF's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

AD Ceuta has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Burgos CF VS AD Ceuta

1 Goals Scored 0.88

0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5

50% Over 1.5 75%

25% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Racing Santander	42	25	7	10	90:61	82
2	Dep. A Coruna	42	22	11	9	65:44	77
3	Almeria	42	22	8	12	81:63	74
4	Malaga	42	21	10	11	75:52	73
5	Las Palmas	42	20	13	9	57:40	73
6	Castellon	42	20	12	10	70:51	72
7	Burgos CF	42	20	12	10	48:33	72
8	Eibar	42	19	10	13	52:40	67
9	Cordoba	42	17	10	15	57:61	61
10	Gijon	42	18	7	17	60:54	61
11	AD Ceuta	42	17	10	15	51:63	61
12	Albacete	42	16	11	15	56:55	59
13	FC Andorra	42	16	10	16	62:54	58
14	Granada CF	42	12	12	18	50:56	48
15	Real Sociedad B	42	12	11	19	52:61	47
16	Leganes	42	11	13	18	43:51	46
17	Valladolid	42	12	10	20	44:57	46
18	Cadiz	42	11	10	21	41:61	43
19	Mirandes	42	10	10	22	47:69	40
20	Huesca	42	9	11	22	41:63	38
21	Leonesa	42	9	10	23	39:68	37
22	Zaragoza	42	8	12	22	35:59	36