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Burgos CF vs Castellon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

LaLiga2 Estadio El Plantío, Burgos
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Burgos CF host Castellon in the LaLiga2. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Burgos CF at 1.24 goals for, 0.72 against; Castellon at 1.7 for, 1.17 against. Head-to-head, Burgos CF have won 0 to Castellon's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 0.81 vs 1.38, favoring Castellon. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Burgos CF
15%
Draws
45%
Castellon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Castellon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Castellon's 1.7 goals per match outpaces what Burgos CF have produced (1.24).
  • Castellon are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular LaLiga2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Castellon have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Burgos CF Clean Sheet 17%
Castellon Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burgos CF Castellon
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 16
Draws 8 8
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 1.24 1.7
Goals Conceded 0.72 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 LaLiga2
Castellon vs Burgos CF
3:1
Nov 10, 2025 LaLiga2
Burgos CF vs Castellon
0:0
Mar 1, 2025 LaLiga2
Castellon vs Burgos CF
2:1
Sep 1, 2024 LaLiga2
Burgos CF vs Castellon
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burgos CF 15 / 100
Castellon 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burgos CF Castellon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castellon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Burgos CF scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Castellon let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Burgos CF went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Burgos CF VS Castellon
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Burgos CF

(Home)
18 Oct
Burgos CF
1 : 0
Sabadell
12 Oct
Burgos CF
0 : 1
Granada CF
03 Oct
Almeria
2 : 1
Burgos CF
27 Sept
Burgos CF
1 : 0
Eldense
20 Sept
Las Palmas
1 : 2
Burgos CF
Page 1 of 6

Castellon

(Away)
17 Oct
Las Palmas
0 : 3
Castellon
11 Oct
FC Andorra
1 : 0
Castellon
04 Oct
Castellon
1 : 1
AD Ceuta
28 Sept
Leganes
0 : 2
Castellon
19 Sept
Castellon
5 : 0
Tenerife
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Almeria 10 8 0 2 20:7 24
2 Castellon 10 7 2 1 18:4 23
3 Eibar 10 7 1 2 20:11 22
4 Gijon 10 6 1 3 11:9 19
5 Girona 10 5 3 2 17:9 18
6 Mallorca 10 5 3 2 12:5 18
7 Granada CF 10 5 2 3 16:13 17
8 Burgos CF 10 5 2 3 13:10 17
9 Real Oviedo 10 5 2 3 13:10 17
10 Sabadell 10 4 4 2 10:8 16
11 Eldense 10 4 2 4 13:13 14
12 Tenerife 10 3 4 3 12:14 13
13 Valladolid 10 3 3 4 15:14 12
14 Celta Vigo B 10 3 3 4 15:16 12
15 Cordoba 10 4 0 6 15:20 12
16 Las Palmas 10 3 2 5 13:19 11
17 Leganes 10 3 2 5 6:15 11
18 FC Andorra 10 3 1 6 13:17 10
19 Real Sociedad B 10 2 2 6 14:21 8
20 Cadiz 10 1 4 5 11:13 7
21 AD Ceuta 10 1 2 7 9:22 5
22 Albacete 10 0 1 9 6:22 1
Promotion - LaLiga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs)