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Burgos CF vs Celta Vigo B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

LaLiga2 Estadio El Plantío, Burgos
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Burgos CF host Celta Vigo B in the LaLiga2. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Burgos CF have averaged 1.31 scored and 0.9 conceded recently, against Celta Vigo B's 1.71 scored and 1.39 conceded. Head-to-head, Burgos CF have won 4 to Celta Vigo B's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on May 9, 2021, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.75 - 1.13) back Burgos CF to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Burgos CF
30%
Draws
23%
Celta Vigo B
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Burgos CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Celta Vigo B haven't matched Burgos CF's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Burgos CF taking it.
  • Regular LaLiga2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Burgos CF here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Burgos CF Clean Sheet 20%
Celta Vigo B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burgos CF Celta Vigo B
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 16 13
Draws 8 10
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 1.31 1.71
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2021 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Burgos CF vs Celta Vigo B
1:0
Apr 18, 2021 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Celta Vigo B vs Burgos CF
1:1
May 12, 2019 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Burgos CF vs Celta Vigo B
2:1
Dec 22, 2018 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Celta Vigo B vs Burgos CF
0:1
Feb 19, 2017 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Burgos CF vs Celta Vigo B
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burgos CF 67 / 100
Celta Vigo B 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burgos CF Celta Vigo B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burgos CF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Burgos CF scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Celta Vigo B conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Burgos CF stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Burgos CF VS Celta Vigo B
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Burgos CF

(Home)
01 Nov
Burgos CF
1 : 1
Castellon
29 Oct
CD Laredo
2 : 4
Burgos CF
26 Oct
FC Andorra
2 : 3
Burgos CF
18 Oct
Burgos CF
1 : 0
Sabadell
12 Oct
Burgos CF
0 : 1
Granada CF
Page 1 of 6

Celta Vigo B

(Away)
31 Oct
Celta Vigo B
2 : 2
Cordoba
24 Oct
Girona
5 : 1
Celta Vigo B
19 Oct
Celta Vigo B
1 : 1
Tenerife
10 Oct
Celta Vigo B
4 : 1
Real Sociedad B
04 Oct
Gijon
3 : 2
Celta Vigo B
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Castellon 12 8 3 1 23:5 27
2 Almeria 12 8 2 2 23:10 26
3 Eibar 12 7 2 3 21:14 23
4 Granada CF 12 7 2 3 20:14 23
5 Mallorca 12 6 4 2 15:7 22
6 Gijon 12 7 1 4 13:13 22
7 Girona 12 6 3 3 22:11 21
8 Burgos CF 12 6 3 3 17:13 21
9 Real Oviedo 12 5 3 4 17:15 18
10 Sabadell 12 4 5 3 12:11 17
11 Las Palmas 12 5 2 5 17:21 17
12 Cordoba 12 5 1 6 19:22 16
13 Valladolid 12 4 3 5 20:19 15
14 Tenerife 12 3 6 3 15:17 15
15 Eldense 12 4 2 6 13:17 14
16 Celta Vigo B 12 3 4 5 18:23 13
17 Leganes 12 3 3 6 10:20 12
18 FC Andorra 12 3 2 7 17:22 11
19 Real Sociedad B 12 3 2 7 15:22 11
20 Cadiz 12 2 4 6 15:16 10
21 Albacete 12 2 1 9 10:23 7
22 AD Ceuta 12 1 2 9 10:27 5
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