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Burgos CF vs Racing Lermeno Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 8 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Burgos CF in this Tercera Division - Group 8 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Burgos CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Burgos CF
15%
Draws
20%
Racing Lermeno
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Burgos CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Burgos CF lately — more wins on the board than Racing Lermeno.
  • Win probability leans Burgos CF's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Burgos CF here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Burgos CF Clean Sheet 20%
Racing Lermeno Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burgos CF Racing Lermeno
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 18 3
Draws 8 8
Losses 5 20
Goals Scored 1.35 0.77
Goals Conceded 0.68 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Burgos CF vs Racing Lermeno
4:0
Sep 30, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Racing Lermeno vs Burgos CF
1:1
Apr 10, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Racing Lermeno vs Burgos CF
0:2
Nov 28, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Burgos CF vs Racing Lermeno
1:0
Jan 24, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Burgos CF vs Racing Lermeno
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burgos CF 85 / 100
Racing Lermeno 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burgos CF Racing Lermeno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burgos CF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Racing Lermeno let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Burgos CF found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Burgos CF went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Burgos CF VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.25 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Burgos CF

(Home)
03 Oct
Almeria
2 : 1
Burgos CF
27 Sept
Burgos CF
1 : 0
Eldense
20 Sept
Las Palmas
1 : 2
Burgos CF
11 Sept
Burgos CF
3 : 1
AD Ceuta
06 Sept
Real Oviedo
0 : 0
Burgos CF
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Racing Lermeno

(Away)
11 May
Racing Lermeno
3 : 2
CD Cebrerena
04 May
Unami CP
2 : 0
Racing Lermeno
01 May
Bupolsa
2 : 1
Racing Lermeno
27 Apr
Racing Lermeno
0 : 2
Becerril
23 Apr
Valladolid Promesas
5 : 1
Racing Lermeno
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burgos CF 38 28 6 4 80:19 90
2 Leonesa 38 25 7 6 70:25 82
3 Arandina 38 25 7 6 66:22 82
4 Gimnastica Segoviana 38 24 3 11 80:38 75
5 Valladolid Promesas 38 22 7 9 68:25 73
6 La Granja 38 20 9 9 50:36 69
7 Atletico Astorga 38 20 8 10 60:41 68
8 Bembibre 38 16 11 11 55:43 59
9 La Virgen 38 16 9 13 51:51 57
10 Real Avila 38 16 7 15 47:46 55
11 Numancia B 38 15 8 15 51:56 53
12 Palencia CA 38 11 10 17 36:47 43
13 Almazan 38 11 10 17 36:55 43
14 Unami CP 38 11 5 22 39:67 38
15 UD Salamanca (Inactive) B 38 8 12 18 27:48 36
16 Racing Lermeno 38 8 10 20 35:64 34
17 Santa Marta Tormes 38 7 11 20 25:50 32
18 Palencia CF 38 9 5 24 32:67 32
19 Villaralbo 38 9 5 24 24:65 32
20 Cuellar Balompie 38 1 6 31 20:87 9
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)