Sport Picks
Buriram United F.C. vs Ayutthaya United
Thailand
Thai League 1 Chang Arena 
AI Match Summary
Buriram United F.C. play Ayutthaya United in the Thai League 1. Buriram United F.C. are favorites here. Recently, Buriram United F.C. averaged 2.65 goals scored and 0.91 conceded. Ayutthaya United averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. In past meetings, Buriram United F.C. won 4, Ayutthaya United won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 17, 2026 ended 5:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.25 for Buriram United F.C. and 1.09 for Ayutthaya United. This points to a Buriram United F.C. double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Buriram United F.C. picked up more points recently compared to Ayutthaya United.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.25 vs 1.09 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Buriram United F.C. | Ayutthaya United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 30 |
| Wins | 24 | 12 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 7 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 2.65 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.91 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 0.43 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.75 | 3.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Buriram United F.C. Compare
Ayutthaya United Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Buriram United F.C. scored in 91% of their last 34 games.
Ayutthaya United let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 3.75 goals.
Buriram United F.C. went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Ayutthaya United lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buriram United F.C. | 30 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 76:31 | 70 |
| 2 | Port MTI FC | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 59:23 | 60 |
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 55:30 | 59 |
| 4 | Pathum United | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 45:29 | 52 |
| 5 | Bangkok Utd | 30 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 43:32 | 50 |
| 6 | Prachuap | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 39:37 | 45 |
| 7 | Chiangrai Utd | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 36:37 | 40 |
| 8 | Chonburi | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 38:41 | 39 |
| 9 | Rayong FC | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 44:49 | 37 |
| 10 | Ayutthaya United | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 34:50 | 32 |
| 11 | Uthai Thani | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 39:44 | 31 |
| 12 | Lamphun Warrior | 30 | 4 | 17 | 9 | 35:47 | 29 |
| 13 | Sukhothai | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 23:42 | 28 |
| 14 | Muang Thong Utd | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 27:52 | 26 |
| 15 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 20:44 | 24 |
| 16 | Kanchanaburi | 30 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 29:54 | 23 |