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Buriram United F.C. vs Beijing Guoan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Champions League Chang Arena, Buriram
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
12:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Buriram United F.C. host Beijing Guoan in the AFC Champions League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Buriram United F.C. at 1.96 goals for, 0.93 against; Beijing Guoan at 2.03 for, 1.21 against. Head-to-head, Buriram United F.C. have won 0 to Beijing Guoan's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 24, 2019, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.38 - 1.69) back Beijing Guoan to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Buriram United F.C.
35%
Draws
36%
Beijing Guoan
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Beijing Guoan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Buriram United F.C. carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Beijing Guoan taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this AFC Champions League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Buriram United F.C. Clean Sheet 13%
Beijing Guoan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Buriram United F.C. Beijing Guoan
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 17 15
Draws 6 10
Losses 5 4
Goals Scored 1.96 2.03
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2019 AFC Champions League
Beijing Guoan vs Buriram United F.C.
2:0
Apr 9, 2019 AFC Champions League
Buriram United F.C. vs Beijing Guoan
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Buriram United F.C. 22 / 100
Beijing Guoan 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Buriram United F.C. Beijing Guoan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Beijing Guoan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Buriram United F.C. found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

Buriram United F.C. went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Beijing Guoan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Buriram United F.C. VS Beijing Guoan
1.75 Goals Scored 2.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Buriram United F.C.

(Home)
07 Oct
Buriram United F.C.
0 : 0
Borneo
20 Sept
Chonburi
0 : 1
Buriram United F.C.
15 Sept
Johor DT
1 : 1
Buriram United F.C.
11 Sept
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 1
Chiangrai Utd
06 Sept
Sukhothai
1 : 3
Buriram United F.C.
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Beijing Guoan

(Away)
09 Oct
Qingdao Hainiu
0 : 3
Beijing Guoan
15 Sept
Beijing Guoan
3 : 1
Pohang
05 Sept
Shanghai Port
0 : 0
Beijing Guoan
01 Sept
Beijing Guoan
3 : 1
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
28 Aug
Dalian Yingbo
1 : 1
Beijing Guoan
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kashima Antlers 1 1 0 0 7:1 3
2 Gamba Osaka 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
3 Shanghai Port 1 1 0 0 6:4 3
4 Beijing Guoan 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
5 Vissel Kobe 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
6 Jeonbuk 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
7 Daejeon 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
8 Buriram United F.C. 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
9 Johor DT 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
10 Kashiwa Reysol 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
11 Port MTI FC 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
12 Kyoto 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
13 Ratchaburi 1 0 0 1 4:6 0
14 Pohang 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
15 Cong An Ha Noi 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
16 Newcastle Jets 1 0 0 1 1:7 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ain 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
2 Esteghlal TEH 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
3 Al Hilal 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
4 Al Qadsiah 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
5 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
6 Neftchi Fargona 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
7 Pakhtakor 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
8 Al Ittihad 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
9 Al Ahli SC 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
10 Shamal 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
11 Al Gharafa 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
12 Al Wasl 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
13 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
14 Tractor 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
15 Al Sadd 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
16 Al Nassr 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)