Sport Picks

Thailand

Thai League 1 Chang Arena, Buriram

Chiangrai Utd

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Buriram United F.C. host Chiangrai Utd in the Thai League 1. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Buriram United F.C. at 1.5 goals for, 1.63 against; Chiangrai Utd at 1 for, 0.5 against. Past meetings favor Buriram United F.C. slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 18, 2026, ending 8:1. xG projections (1.00 - 1.31) back Buriram United F.C. to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Buriram United F.C.

Draws

Chiangrai Utd

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Buriram United F.C.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Buriram United F.C. have won more games recently than Chiangrai Utd.
90% — that's where the model lands on Buriram United F.C. taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Buriram United F.C. here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%

Buriram United F.C. Clean Sheet 18%

Chiangrai Utd Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Buriram United F.C.	Chiangrai Utd
Matches Played	39	30
Wins	28	10
Draws	4	11
Losses	7	9
Goals Scored	1.5	1
Goals Conceded	1.63	0.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Thai League 1

Buriram United F.C. vs Chiangrai Utd

8:1

Aug 31, 2025 Thai League 1

Chiangrai Utd vs Buriram United F.C.

1:2

Apr 9, 2025 Thai FA Cup

Buriram United F.C. vs Chiangrai Utd

2:1

Jan 15, 2025 Thai League 1

Buriram United F.C. vs Chiangrai Utd

8:0

Aug 25, 2024 Thai League 1

Chiangrai Utd vs Buriram United F.C.

0:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Buriram United F.C. 85 / 100

Chiangrai Utd 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Buriram United F.C. Chiangrai Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BUR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Buriram United F.C.'s goal record stands at 92% scoring rate across 39 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Buriram United F.C. stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Chiangrai Utd conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Buriram United F.C. VS Chiangrai Utd

1.5 Goals Scored 1

1.63 Goals Conceded 0.5

88% Over 1.5 50%

63% Over 2.5 17%

50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History