Sport Picks
Buriram United F.C. vs Chiangrai Utd - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Thailand
Thai League 1 Chang Arena, Buriram 
Match Events
22'
22'
Sub
Dudu In: Schutz
Out: Dudu
32'
32'
Bissoli
Assist: Causic G.
39'
39'
Helio
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Thai League 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
35%
31%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
34%
/ Low Confidence
- Buriram United F.C. have won more games recently than Chiangrai Utd.
- 34% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Buriram United F.C. here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Buriram United F.C. Clean Sheet 20%
Chiangrai Utd Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Buriram United F.C. | Chiangrai Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 37 | 28 |
| Wins | 24 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.22 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.45 | 0.52 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 11, 2026 Thai League 1
Buriram United F.C. vs Chiangrai Utd
1:1
Jan 18, 2026 Thai League 1
Buriram United F.C. vs Chiangrai Utd
8:1
Aug 31, 2025 Thai League 1
Chiangrai Utd vs Buriram United F.C.
1:2
Apr 9, 2025 Thai FA Cup
Buriram United F.C. vs Chiangrai Utd
2:1
Jan 15, 2025 Thai League 1
Buriram United F.C. vs Chiangrai Utd
8:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Buriram United F.C. Compare
Top Goalscorer Bissoli
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.12
Avg xA / game 0.72
Chiangrai Utd Compare
Top Goalscorer Robinho
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.47
Avg xA / game 0.29
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Buriram United F.C. 31 / 100
Chiangrai Utd 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Buriram United F.C. Chiangrai Utd
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Buriram United F.C. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Buriram United F.C.'s goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 37 recent games.
Games between these two average 5.00 goals.
Recent resilience: Buriram United F.C. stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Chiangrai Utd conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Buriram United F.C. VS Chiangrai Utd
2.5 Goals Scored 0.4
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.4
75% Over 1.5 20%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Buriram United F.C.
(Home) 10 Oct
Buriram United F.C.
3 : 2 Rayong FC
07 Oct
Buriram United F.C.
0 : 0 Borneo
20 Sept
Chonburi
0 : 1 Buriram United F.C.
15 Sept
Johor DT
1 : 1 Buriram United F.C.
11 Sept
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 1 Chiangrai Utd
Page 1 of 8
10 Oct
Buriram United F.C.
3 : 2 Rayong FC
07 Oct
Buriram United F.C.
0 : 0 Borneo
11 Sept
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 1 Chiangrai Utd
29 Aug
Buriram United F.C.
2 : 1 Port MTI FC
28 Aug
Buriram United F.C.
3 : 3 Sisaket United
Page 1 of 5
Chiangrai Utd
(Away) 19 Sept
Chiangrai Utd
0 : 1 Sisaket United
11 Sept
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 1 Chiangrai Utd
05 Sept
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 0 Chonburi
10 May
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 0 Uthai Thani
03 May
Lamphun Warrior
0 : 0 Chiangrai Utd
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 1 Chiangrai Utd
03 May
Lamphun Warrior
0 : 0 Chiangrai Utd
05 Apr
Muang Thong Utd
2 : 1 Chiangrai Utd
13 Mar
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 1 Chiangrai Utd
01 Mar
Kanchanaburi
0 : 4 Chiangrai Utd
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buriram United F.C. | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 10 |
| 2 | Uthai Thani | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:6 | 9 |
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 4 | Rayong FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 5 | Ayutthaya United | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 6 | Prachuap | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 7 | Bangkok Utd | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 8 | Port MTI FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 9 | Pathum United | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 5 |
| 10 | Chiangrai Utd | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 11 | Pattani | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 4 |
| 12 | Sisaket United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | 3 |
| 13 | Sukhothai | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:11 | 3 |
| 14 | Rasisalai United | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | 1 |
| 15 | Lamphun Warrior | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:7 | 1 |
| 16 | Chonburi | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | 0 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
