Sport Picks
Buriram United F.C. vs Rayong FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Thailand
Thai League 1 Chang Arena, Buriram 
Match Events
12'
12'
Coutinho
13'
13'
Joao Felipe
Assist: Coutinho
26'
26'
Moyano S.
AI Match Summary
Buriram United F.C. in this Thai League 1 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Buriram United F.C..
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
35%
31%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
34%
/ Low Confidence
- Buriram United F.C. have won more games recently than Rayong FC.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Buriram United F.C. Clean Sheet 20%
Rayong FC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Buriram United F.C. | Rayong FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 40 | 29 |
| Wins | 25 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2.17 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.02 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.85 | 1.01 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 10, 2026 Thai League 1
Buriram United F.C. vs Rayong FC
3:2
Apr 29, 2026 Thai League 1
Rayong FC vs Buriram United F.C.
3:0
Oct 26, 2025 Thai League 1
Buriram United F.C. vs Rayong FC
2:1
Aug 10, 2025 Club Friendly
Buriram United F.C. vs Rayong FC
1:1
Mar 29, 2025 Thai League 1
Buriram United F.C. vs Rayong FC
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Buriram United F.C. Compare
Top Goalscorer Schimmer S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Jaided S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.93
Rayong FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Joao Felipe
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Buriram United F.C. 31 / 100
Rayong FC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Buriram United F.C. Rayong FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Buriram United F.C. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Buriram United F.C. scored in 90% of their last 40 games.
Rayong FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Solid form: Buriram United F.C. remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Buriram United F.C. VS Rayong FC
2.5 Goals Scored 1.4
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.2
75% Over 1.5 60%
75% Over 2.5 40%
25% Over 3.5 40%
Recent Form & Match History
Buriram United F.C.
(Home) 10 Oct
Buriram United F.C.
3 : 2 Rayong FC
07 Oct
Buriram United F.C.
0 : 0 Borneo
20 Sept
Chonburi
0 : 1 Buriram United F.C.
15 Sept
Johor DT
1 : 1 Buriram United F.C.
11 Sept
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 1 Chiangrai Utd
Page 1 of 8
10 Oct
Buriram United F.C.
3 : 2 Rayong FC
07 Oct
Buriram United F.C.
0 : 0 Borneo
11 Sept
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 1 Chiangrai Utd
29 Aug
Buriram United F.C.
2 : 1 Port MTI FC
28 Aug
Buriram United F.C.
3 : 3 Sisaket United
Page 1 of 5
Rayong FC
(Away) 10 Oct
Buriram United F.C.
3 : 2 Rayong FC
20 Sept
Rayong FC
1 : 1 Ratchaburi
13 Sept
Chonburi
2 : 3 Rayong FC
05 Sept
Rayong FC
1 : 0 Prachuap
10 May
Rayong FC
1 : 1 Bangkok Utd
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Buriram United F.C.
3 : 2 Rayong FC
13 Sept
Chonburi
2 : 3 Rayong FC
03 May
Ratchaburi
6 : 1 Rayong FC
18 Apr
Uthai Thani
4 : 1 Rayong FC
05 Apr
Chonburi
4 : 1 Rayong FC
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buriram United F.C. | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 10 |
| 2 | Uthai Thani | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:6 | 9 |
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 4 | Rayong FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 5 | Ayutthaya United | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 6 | Prachuap | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 7 | Bangkok Utd | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 8 | Port MTI FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 9 | Pathum United | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 5 |
| 10 | Chiangrai Utd | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 11 | Pattani | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 4 |
| 12 | Sisaket United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | 3 |
| 13 | Sukhothai | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:11 | 3 |
| 14 | Rasisalai United | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | 1 |
| 15 | Lamphun Warrior | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:7 | 1 |
| 16 | Chonburi | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | 0 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
