Sport Picks
Buriram United F.C. vs Sukhothai
Thailand
Thai League 1 Chang Arena 
AI Match Summary
Buriram United F.C. play Sukhothai in the Thai League 1. Buriram United F.C. are favorites here. Recently, Buriram United F.C. averaged 2.55 goals scored and 0.87 conceded. Sukhothai averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. In past meetings, Buriram United F.C. won 5, Sukhothai won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 21, 2026 ended 6:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Buriram United F.C. and 1.38 for Sukhothai. This points to a Buriram United F.C. double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Buriram United F.C. picked up more points recently compared to Sukhothai.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 1.38 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Buriram United F.C. | Sukhothai |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 22 | 8 |
| Draws | 3 | 8 |
| Losses | 6 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 2.55 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.87 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.75 | 1.20 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Buriram United F.C. Compare
Sukhothai Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Buriram United F.C. scored in 90% of their last 31 games.
Sukhothai let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Buriram United F.C. went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Sukhothai lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buriram United F.C. | 30 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 76:31 | 70 |
| 2 | Port MTI FC | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 59:23 | 60 |
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 55:30 | 59 |
| 4 | Pathum United | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 45:29 | 52 |
| 5 | Bangkok Utd | 30 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 43:32 | 50 |
| 6 | Prachuap | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 39:37 | 45 |
| 7 | Chiangrai Utd | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 36:37 | 40 |
| 8 | Chonburi | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 38:41 | 39 |
| 9 | Rayong FC | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 44:49 | 37 |
| 10 | Ayutthaya United | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 34:50 | 32 |
| 11 | Uthai Thani | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 39:44 | 31 |
| 12 | Lamphun Warrior | 30 | 4 | 17 | 9 | 35:47 | 29 |
| 13 | Sukhothai | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 23:42 | 28 |
| 14 | Muang Thong Utd | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 27:52 | 26 |
| 15 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 20:44 | 24 |
| 16 | Kanchanaburi | 30 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 29:54 | 23 |