Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Burkina Faso U23 vs Gambia U23

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U23
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gambia U23 in this Africa Cup of Nations U23 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gambia U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Burkina Faso U23
28%
Draws
22%
Gambia U23
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Burkina Faso U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Burkina Faso U23 have won more games recently than Gambia U23.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Burkina Faso U23 taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Africa Cup of Nations U23 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Burkina Faso U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Gambia U23 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burkina Faso U23 Gambia U23
Matches Played 9 3
Wins 3 1
Draws 2 0
Losses 4 2
Goals Scored 0.88 0.67
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Gambia U23 vs Burkina Faso U23
1:2
Sep 21, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Burkina Faso U23 vs Gambia U23
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burkina Faso U23 49 / 100
Gambia U23 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burkina Faso U23 Gambia U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BFA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gambia U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 3 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Burkina Faso U23 scored in 44% of their last 9 games.

Solid form: Burkina Faso U23 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Burkina Faso U23 VS Gambia U23
0.88 Goals Scored 0.67
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.67
38% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 67%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Guinea Bissau U232
Niger U234
TBD-
Ivory Coast U23-
Sudan U23-
TBD-
TBD-
Benin U23-
Tanzania U233
South Sudan U233
TBD-
Nigeria U23-
Guinea U23-
TBD-
TBD-
Uganda U23-
Eswatini U233
Botswana U232
TBD-
Egypt U23-
Sierra Leone U23-
TBD-
TBD-
Zambia U23-
Mauritania U231
Togo U232
TBD-
South Africa U23-
Congo U23-
TBD-
TBD-
Tunisia U23-
Ethiopia U230
D.R. Congo U231
TBD-
Algeria U23-
Mozambique U235
Mauritius U231
TBD-
Ghana U23-
Burkina Faso U232
Gambia U232
TBD-
Senegal U23-
Libya U234
Rwanda U234
TBD-
Mali U23-
Madagascar U2312
Seychelles U231
TBD-
Gabon U23-
Angola U238
Namibia U231
TBD-
Cameroon U23-
Semi-finals
Niger U231
Ivory Coast U231
Sudan U233
Benin U233
Tanzania U231
Nigeria U233
Guinea U23-
Uganda U23-
Eswatini U230
Egypt U231
Sierra Leone U231
Zambia U232
Togo U232
South Africa U232
Congo U232
Tunisia U232
D.R. Congo U235
Algeria U234
Mozambique U231
Ghana U234
Burkina Faso U230
Senegal U231
Rwanda U231
Mali U232
Madagascar U230
Gabon U235
Angola U232
Cameroon U233
Final
Niger U232
Sudan U231
Nigeria U230
Guinea U232
Egypt U232
Zambia U230
South Africa U231
Congo U231
Algeria U231
Ghana U232
Senegal U233
Mali U234
Gabon U232
Cameroon U231