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Burkina Faso vs Benin Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Minoungou G.
45' Event
Minoungou G.
90' Event
Simpore S.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between Burkina Faso and Benin finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Burkina Faso.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Burkina Faso
35%
Draws
37%
Benin
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Benin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Benin haven't matched Burkina Faso's recent run of results.
  • 28% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Burkina Faso Clean Sheet 68%
Benin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burkina Faso Benin
Matches Played 37 28
Wins 20 10
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.84 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations
Burkina Faso vs Benin
1:1
Nov 18, 2025 Friendly International
Burkina Faso vs Benin
3:0
May 21, 2017 Friendly International
Benin vs Burkina Faso
2:2
May 4, 2017 Friendly International
Burkina Faso vs Benin
1:1
Nov 17, 2015 World Championship
Burkina Faso vs Benin
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Burkina Faso Compare

Top Goalscorer Minoungou G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Simpore S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Benin Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burkina Faso 41 / 100
Benin 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burkina Faso Benin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burkina Faso Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Burkina Faso's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 37 recent games.

Benin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Burkina Faso has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Burkina Faso VS Benin
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Burkina Faso

(Home)
28 Sept
Central Africa
0 : 1
Burkina Faso
25 Sept
Burkina Faso
1 : 1
Benin
09 Jun
Belarus
2 : 2
Burkina Faso
05 Jun
Russia
3 : 0
Burkina Faso
31 Mar
Burkina Faso
1 : 1
Guinea Bissau
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Benin

(Away)
25 Sept
Burkina Faso
1 : 1
Benin
09 Jun
Togo
5 : 1
Benin
05 Jun
Benin
1 : 1
Niger
31 Mar
Guinea
0 : 1
Benin
27 Mar
Benin
1 : 0
Liberia
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