Sport Picks

Burkina Faso vs Mauritania - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa

Africa Cup of Nations

Mauritania

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Burkina Faso have averaged 1.79 scored and 1.29 conceded recently, against Mauritania's 0.75 scored and 0.89 conceded. Head-to-head, Burkina Faso have won 3 to Mauritania's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 13, 2025, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.06, favoring Burkina Faso. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%

Burkina Faso

30%

Draws

41%

Mauritania

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mauritania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and Burkina Faso come out ahead of Mauritania on wins alone.
41% — that's where the model lands on Mauritania taking it.
Burkina Faso have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Burkina Faso, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%

Burkina Faso Clean Sheet 20%

Mauritania Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Burkina Faso	Mauritania
Matches Played	38	28
Wins	20	8
Draws	5	11
Losses	13	9
Goals Scored	1.79	0.75
Goals Conceded	1.29	0.89
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2025 African Nations Championship

Mauritania vs Burkina Faso

1:0

Jan 16, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Burkina Faso vs Mauritania

1:0

Oct 17, 2023 Friendly International

Mauritania vs Burkina Faso

1:2

Dec 30, 2021 Friendly International

Mauritania vs Burkina Faso

0:0

Sep 28, 2019 WAFU Cup of Nations

Burkina Faso vs Mauritania

2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burkina Faso 10 / 100

Mauritania 84 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Burkina Faso Mauritania

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mauritania Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Burkina Faso found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (38 games).

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Burkina Faso has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Mauritania let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Burkina Faso VS Mauritania

1.5 Goals Scored 0.75

1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75

88% Over 1.5 50%

63% Over 2.5 25%

25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Burkina Faso

(Home)

04 Oct

Argentina

7 : 0

Burkina Faso

28 Sept

Central Africa

0 : 1

Burkina Faso

25 Sept

Burkina Faso

1 : 1

Benin

09 Jun

Belarus

2 : 2

Burkina Faso

05 Jun

Russia

3 : 0

Burkina Faso

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Mauritania

(Away)

29 Sept

Benin

2 : 1

Mauritania

24 Sept

Mauritania

3 : 1

Central Africa

08 Jun

Niger

0 : 1

Mauritania

05 Jun

Angola

1 : 1

Mauritania

27 Mar

Argentina

2 : 1

Mauritania

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