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Burlades vs CD Cantolagua

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Perez J.
42' Event
Lacosta A.
49' Event
Valero M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 game between Burlades and CD Cantolagua finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Cantolagua.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Burlades
30%
Draws
39%
CD Cantolagua
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD Cantolagua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Burlades carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Burlades taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Burlades Clean Sheet 15%
CD Cantolagua Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burlades CD Cantolagua
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 7 3
Draws 7 7
Losses 18 20
Goals Scored 1.41 0.93
Goals Conceded 2.03 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Burlades vs CD Cantolagua
3:4
Nov 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Cantolagua vs Burlades
2:2
May 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Cantolagua vs Burlades
0:2
Jan 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Burlades vs CD Cantolagua
0:2
Feb 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Burlades vs CD Cantolagua
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Burlades Compare

Top Goalscorer Zapata M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Irisarri A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

CD Cantolagua Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lacosta A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burlades 35 / 100
CD Cantolagua 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burlades CD Cantolagua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Cantolagua let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Burlades found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (32 games).

Recent resilience: Burlades stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Burlades VS CD Cantolagua
1 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 2.25
71% Over 1.5 88%
71% Over 2.5 63%
43% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Burlades

(Home)
10 May
Burlades
3 : 1
Cirbonero
03 May
Cortes
5 : 1
Burlades
26 Apr
Burlades
0 : 3
Valle Egues
16 Apr
Txantrea
3 : 0
Burlades
12 Apr
Burlades
0 : 0
AD San Juan
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CD Cantolagua

(Away)
19 Sept
Gazte Berriak
1 : 0
CD Cantolagua
10 Sept
CD Cantolagua
2 : 1
Huarte
06 Sept
Doneztebe FT
6 : 0
CD Cantolagua
10 May
CD Cantolagua
3 : 3
Pamplona
01 May
Cirbonero
1 : 1
CD Cantolagua
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mutilvera 34 23 7 4 61:22 76
2 Valle Egues 34 23 6 5 63:21 75
3 AD San Juan 34 18 10 6 56:26 64
4 Cortes 34 18 8 8 48:28 62
5 Pena 34 15 13 6 55:28 58
6 Txantrea 34 16 9 9 58:49 57
7 Huarte 34 16 9 9 54:39 57
8 CD Ardoi 34 16 7 11 41:30 55
9 Pamplona 34 13 11 10 45:43 50
10 Cirbonero 34 11 12 11 46:39 45
11 Bidezarra 34 10 14 10 39:41 44
12 Beti Kozkor 34 9 10 15 38:48 37
13 CA Artajones 34 7 12 15 36:57 33
14 CD Beti Onak 34 9 6 19 32:50 33
15 Burlades 34 6 8 20 47:73 26
16 Rotxapea 34 5 8 21 39:83 23
17 CD Gares 34 5 7 22 25:63 22
18 CD Cantolagua 34 3 9 22 32:75 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 (Play Offs)