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Burlades vs CD Gares

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Marcos I.
44' Event
Tollar Ugarte G.
54' Event
Gimeno M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 game between Burlades and CD Gares finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Burlades.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Burlades
30%
Draws
23%
CD Gares
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Burlades

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Burlades's 1.33 goals per match outpaces what CD Gares have produced (0.73).
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Burlades taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Burlades Clean Sheet 20%
CD Gares Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burlades CD Gares
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 5
Draws 7 5
Losses 18 20
Goals Scored 1.33 0.73
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Burlades vs CD Gares
5:1
Sep 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Gares vs Burlades
2:2
Mar 4, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Gares vs Burlades
1:1
Oct 30, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Burlades vs CD Gares
5:0
Jan 13, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Gares vs Burlades
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Burlades Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcos I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tollar Ugarte G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

CD Gares Compare

Top Goalscorer Zabalza A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burlades 40 / 100
CD Gares 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burlades CD Gares

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burlades Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Gares let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Burlades scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: CD Gares registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Burlades VS CD Gares
1 Goals Scored 0.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Burlades

(Home)
10 May
Burlades
3 : 1
Cirbonero
03 May
Cortes
5 : 1
Burlades
26 Apr
Burlades
0 : 3
Valle Egues
16 Apr
Txantrea
3 : 0
Burlades
12 Apr
Burlades
0 : 0
AD San Juan
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CD Gares

(Away)
10 May
CA Artajones
1 : 1
CD Gares
03 May
CD Gares
0 : 2
Pena
27 Apr
Rotxapea
3 : 0
CD Gares
23 Apr
Beti Kozkor
1 : 0
CD Gares
16 Apr
CD Gares
0 : 0
Mutilvera
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mutilvera 34 23 7 4 61:22 76
2 Valle Egues 34 23 6 5 63:21 75
3 AD San Juan 34 18 10 6 56:26 64
4 Cortes 34 18 8 8 48:28 62
5 Pena 34 15 13 6 55:28 58
6 Txantrea 34 16 9 9 58:49 57
7 Huarte 34 16 9 9 54:39 57
8 CD Ardoi 34 16 7 11 41:30 55
9 Pamplona 34 13 11 10 45:43 50
10 Cirbonero 34 11 12 11 46:39 45
11 Bidezarra 34 10 14 10 39:41 44
12 Beti Kozkor 34 9 10 15 38:48 37
13 CA Artajones 34 7 12 15 36:57 33
14 CD Beti Onak 34 9 6 19 32:50 33
15 Burlades 34 6 8 20 47:73 26
16 Rotxapea 34 5 8 21 39:83 23
17 CD Gares 34 5 7 22 25:63 22
18 CD Cantolagua 34 3 9 22 32:75 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 (Play Offs)