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Burlades vs Mutilvera

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

73' Event
Telletxea I.

AI Match Summary

Mutilvera in this Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mutilvera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Burlades
30%
Draws
39%
Mutilvera
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mutilvera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mutilvera lately — more wins on the board than Burlades.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Burlades Clean Sheet 20%
Mutilvera Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burlades Mutilvera
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 1.33 0.97
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Burlades vs Mutilvera
0:1
Oct 12, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Mutilvera vs Burlades
3:0
Apr 26, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Mutilvera vs Burlades
0:0
Dec 14, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Burlades vs Mutilvera
3:2
Mar 3, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Mutilvera vs Burlades
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Burlades Compare

Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Mutilvera Compare

Top Goalscorer Telletxea I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burlades 36 / 100
Mutilvera 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burlades Mutilvera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mutilvera Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Burlades's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Mutilvera conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Burlades went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mutilvera
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Burlades

(Home)
10 May
Burlades
3 : 1
Cirbonero
03 May
Cortes
5 : 1
Burlades
26 Apr
Burlades
0 : 3
Valle Egues
16 Apr
Txantrea
3 : 0
Burlades
12 Apr
Burlades
0 : 0
AD San Juan
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Mutilvera

(Away)
12 Sept
Mutilvera
1 : 0
Gazte Berriak
05 Sept
Huarte
0 : 0
Mutilvera
18 Aug
Mutilvera
1 : 1
Pena
03 May
Mutilvera
0 : 2
Amorebieta
26 Apr
UD Logrones
3 : 0
Mutilvera
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mutilvera 34 23 7 4 61:22 76
2 Valle Egues 34 23 6 5 63:21 75
3 AD San Juan 34 18 10 6 56:26 64
4 Cortes 34 18 8 8 48:28 62
5 Pena 34 15 13 6 55:28 58
6 Txantrea 34 16 9 9 58:49 57
7 Huarte 34 16 9 9 54:39 57
8 CD Ardoi 34 16 7 11 41:30 55
9 Pamplona 34 13 11 10 45:43 50
10 Cirbonero 34 11 12 11 46:39 45
11 Bidezarra 34 10 14 10 39:41 44
12 Beti Kozkor 34 9 10 15 38:48 37
13 CA Artajones 34 7 12 15 36:57 33
14 CD Beti Onak 34 9 6 19 32:50 33
15 Burlades 34 6 8 20 47:73 26
16 Rotxapea 34 5 8 21 39:83 23
17 CD Gares 34 5 7 22 25:63 22
18 CD Cantolagua 34 3 9 22 32:75 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 (Play Offs)