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Burlades vs Pena

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Izura E.
77' Event
Cuellar I.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Burlades
35%
Draws
45%
Pena
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pena lately — more wins on the board than Burlades.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Pena taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Burlades Clean Sheet 19%
Pena Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burlades Pena
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 19
Draws 7 9
Losses 18 4
Goals Scored 1.33 1.78
Goals Conceded 2.17 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Burlades vs Pena
1:1
Oct 26, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pena vs Burlades
3:0
Mar 2, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pena vs Burlades
2:2
Oct 12, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Burlades vs Pena
1:1
Jan 14, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pena vs Burlades
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Burlades Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Pena Compare

Top Goalscorer Izura E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burlades 10 / 100
Pena 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burlades Pena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Burlades's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Pena has conceded goals in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Burlades remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pena
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Burlades

(Home)
10 May
Burlades
3 : 1
Cirbonero
03 May
Cortes
5 : 1
Burlades
26 Apr
Burlades
0 : 3
Valle Egues
16 Apr
Txantrea
3 : 0
Burlades
12 Apr
Burlades
0 : 0
AD San Juan
Page 1 of 6

Pena

(Away)
06 Sept
Pena
1 : 1
Utebo FC
25 Aug
Erriberri
0 : 3
Pena
18 Aug
Mutilvera
1 : 1
Pena
11 Aug
AD San Juan
1 : 1
Pena
09 May
CA Artajones
1 : 2
Pena
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mutilvera 34 23 7 4 61:22 76
2 Valle Egues 34 23 6 5 63:21 75
3 AD San Juan 34 18 10 6 56:26 64
4 Cortes 34 18 8 8 48:28 62
5 Pena 34 15 13 6 55:28 58
6 Txantrea 34 16 9 9 58:49 57
7 Huarte 34 16 9 9 54:39 57
8 CD Ardoi 34 16 7 11 41:30 55
9 Pamplona 34 13 11 10 45:43 50
10 Cirbonero 34 11 12 11 46:39 45
11 Bidezarra 34 10 14 10 39:41 44
12 Beti Kozkor 34 9 10 15 38:48 37
13 CA Artajones 34 7 12 15 36:57 33
14 CD Beti Onak 34 9 6 19 32:50 33
15 Burlades 34 6 8 20 47:73 26
16 Rotxapea 34 5 8 21 39:83 23
17 CD Gares 34 5 7 22 25:63 22
18 CD Cantolagua 34 3 9 22 32:75 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 (Play Offs)