Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Burnie United vs Launceston City U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

Tasmania Northern Championship
Sat, Aug 22, 2026
3 - 0
04:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Burnie United host Launceston City U21 in the Tasmania Northern Championship. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Launceston City U21 have shipped 2.03 goals a game lately, while Burnie United have conceded 3.87 and scored 2.3. Past meetings favor Burnie United slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 22, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 2.63, favoring Launceston City U21. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Burnie United
15%
Draws
57%
Launceston City U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Launceston City U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Launceston City U21 have won more games recently than Burnie United.
  • Win probability leans Burnie United's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Burnie United Clean Sheet 10%
Launceston City U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burnie United Launceston City U21
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 2 0
Losses 20 17
Goals Scored 2.3 1.79
Goals Conceded 3.87 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Tasmania Northern Championship
Burnie United vs Launceston City U21
3:0
Jun 13, 2026 Tasmania Northern Championship
Launceston City U21 vs Burnie United
4:3
Mar 28, 2026 Tasmania Northern Championship
Burnie United vs Launceston City U21
5:1
Aug 2, 2025 Tasmania Northern Championship
Launceston City U21 vs Burnie United
4:0
May 31, 2025 Tasmania Northern Championship
Burnie United vs Launceston City U21
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burnie United 65 / 100
Launceston City U21 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burnie United Launceston City U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burnie United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Burnie United scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Launceston City U21 has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Burnie United went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Burnie United VS Launceston City U21
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
4 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Burnie United

(Home)
29 Aug
Riverside Olympic U21
0 : 3
Burnie United
22 Aug
Burnie United
3 : 0
Launceston City U21
15 Aug
Burnie United
0 : 2
Ulverstone U21
08 Aug
Burnie United
4 : 10
Northern Rangers
01 Aug
Somerset
2 : 0
Burnie United
Page 1 of 6

Launceston City U21

(Away)
29 Aug
Launceston City U21
2 : 0
Somerset
22 Aug
Burnie United
3 : 0
Launceston City U21
15 Aug
Launceston City U21
5 : 3
Launceston United U21
08 Aug
Devonport U21
0 : 1
Launceston City U21
01 Aug
Riverside Olympic U21
0 : 1
Launceston City U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Northern Rangers 21 20 0 1 130:24 60
2 Devonport U21 21 16 2 3 107:27 50
3 Ulverstone U21 20 11 3 6 49:38 36
4 Launceston City U21 20 9 0 11 32:39 27
5 Somerset 20 7 2 11 40:59 23
6 Burnie United 21 7 2 12 52:79 23
7 Riverside Olympic U21 20 5 0 15 28:76 15
8 Launceston United U21 21 2 1 18 19:115 7
Promotion - NPL Tasmania 2027 (Main)