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Burnie United vs Riverside Olympic U21

Australia Australia

Tasmania Northern Championship
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AI Match Summary

Burnie United in this Tasmania Northern Championship matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Burnie United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Burnie United
44%
Draws
20%
Riverside Olympic U21
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Burnie United haven't matched Riverside Olympic U21's recent run of results.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Tasmania Northern Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Burnie United Clean Sheet 10%
Riverside Olympic U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burnie United Riverside Olympic U21
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 6 11
Draws 3 1
Losses 19 15
Goals Scored 2.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 3.13 3.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.13 3.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Tasmania Northern Championship
Burnie United vs Riverside Olympic U21
1:0
May 2, 2026 Tasmania Northern Championship
Burnie United vs Riverside Olympic U21
4:2
Aug 16, 2025 Tasmania Northern Championship
Riverside Olympic U21 vs Burnie United
4:2
Jun 21, 2025 Tasmania Northern Championship
Burnie United vs Riverside Olympic U21
1:4
Apr 12, 2025 Tasmania Northern Championship
Riverside Olympic U21 vs Burnie United
8:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burnie United 34 / 100
Riverside Olympic U21 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burnie United Riverside Olympic U21

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Riverside Olympic U21 let in goals in 96% of their last 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Burnie United scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Difficult form: Riverside Olympic U21 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Burnie United VS Riverside Olympic U21
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
3.13 Goals Conceded 3.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
88% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Northern Rangers14130189:1539
2Devonport U2114122077:1738
3Ulverstone U211473438:2824
4Somerset1462638:3320
5Launceston City U211450923:3015
6Burnie United1542933:6514
7Riverside Olympic U2114401020:6012
8Launceston United U2115111310:804