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Burnie United vs Riverside Olympic U21

Australia Australia

Tasmania Northern Championship
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AI Match Summary

Burnie United in this Tasmania Northern Championship matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Burnie United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Burnie United
15%
Draws
0%
Riverside Olympic U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Burnie United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Burnie United haven't matched Riverside Olympic U21's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Burnie United taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Tasmania Northern Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Burnie United Clean Sheet 10%
Riverside Olympic U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burnie United Riverside Olympic U21
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 2 0
Losses 20 20
Goals Scored 2.3 1.79
Goals Conceded 3.87 3.52
Expected Goals (xG) 3.19 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Tasmania Northern Championship
Riverside Olympic U21 vs Burnie United
0:3
Jul 4, 2026 Tasmania Northern Championship
Burnie United vs Riverside Olympic U21
1:0
May 2, 2026 Tasmania Northern Championship
Burnie United vs Riverside Olympic U21
4:2
Aug 16, 2025 Tasmania Northern Championship
Riverside Olympic U21 vs Burnie United
4:2
Jun 21, 2025 Tasmania Northern Championship
Burnie United vs Riverside Olympic U21
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burnie United 83 / 100
Riverside Olympic U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burnie United Riverside Olympic U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burnie United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Riverside Olympic U21 let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Difficult form: Riverside Olympic U21 registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Burnie United scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Burnie United VS Riverside Olympic U21
2.38 Goals Scored 0.88
4.25 Goals Conceded 4
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Burnie United

(Home)
29 Aug
Riverside Olympic U21
0 : 3
Burnie United
22 Aug
Burnie United
3 : 0
Launceston City U21
15 Aug
Burnie United
0 : 2
Ulverstone U21
08 Aug
Burnie United
4 : 10
Northern Rangers
01 Aug
Somerset
2 : 0
Burnie United
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Riverside Olympic U21

(Away)
29 Aug
Riverside Olympic U21
0 : 3
Burnie United
22 Aug
Ulverstone U21
4 : 3
Riverside Olympic U21
15 Aug
Devonport U21
6 : 1
Riverside Olympic U21
08 Aug
Launceston United U21
2 : 1
Riverside Olympic U21
01 Aug
Riverside Olympic U21
0 : 1
Launceston City U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Northern Rangers 21 20 0 1 130:24 60
2 Devonport U21 21 16 2 3 107:27 50
3 Ulverstone U21 20 11 3 6 49:38 36
4 Launceston City U21 20 9 0 11 32:39 27
5 Somerset 20 7 2 11 40:59 23
6 Burnie United 21 7 2 12 52:79 23
7 Riverside Olympic U21 20 5 0 15 28:76 15
8 Launceston United U21 21 2 1 18 19:115 7
Promotion - NPL Tasmania 2027 (Main)