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Burnie United vs Ulverstone U21 Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tasmania Northern Championship
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AI Match Summary

Ulverstone U21 in this Tasmania Northern Championship matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ulverstone U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Burnie United
15%
Draws
57%
Ulverstone U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ulverstone U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ulverstone U21 lately — more wins on the board than Burnie United.
  • Win probability leans Burnie United's way, sitting at 60%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Tasmania Northern Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Ulverstone U21 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Burnie United Clean Sheet 10%
Ulverstone U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burnie United Ulverstone U21
Matches Played 30 20
Wins 8 11
Draws 2 3
Losses 20 6
Goals Scored 2.3 2.45
Goals Conceded 3.87 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Tasmania Northern Championship
Burnie United vs Ulverstone U21
0:2
Jun 19, 2026 Tasmania Northern Championship
Ulverstone U21 vs Burnie United
4:2
Apr 10, 2026 Tasmania Northern Championship
Ulverstone U21 vs Burnie United
4:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burnie United 56 / 100
Ulverstone U21 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burnie United Ulverstone U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burnie United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.33 goals.

Burnie United scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Ulverstone U21 has conceded goals in 65% of their last 20 outings.

Burnie United has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Burnie United VS Ulverstone U21
2.38 Goals Scored 1.75
4.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Burnie United

(Home)
29 Aug
Riverside Olympic U21
0 : 3
Burnie United
22 Aug
Burnie United
3 : 0
Launceston City U21
15 Aug
Burnie United
0 : 2
Ulverstone U21
08 Aug
Burnie United
4 : 10
Northern Rangers
01 Aug
Somerset
2 : 0
Burnie United
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Ulverstone U21

(Away)
29 Aug
Northern Rangers
4 : 0
Ulverstone U21
22 Aug
Ulverstone U21
4 : 3
Riverside Olympic U21
15 Aug
Burnie United
0 : 2
Ulverstone U21
08 Aug
Ulverstone U21
2 : 0
Somerset
31 Jul
Ulverstone U21
3 : 2
Launceston United U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Northern Rangers 21 20 0 1 130:24 60
2 Devonport U21 21 16 2 3 107:27 50
3 Ulverstone U21 20 11 3 6 49:38 36
4 Launceston City U21 20 9 0 11 32:39 27
5 Somerset 20 7 2 11 40:59 23
6 Burnie United 21 7 2 12 52:79 23
7 Riverside Olympic U21 20 5 0 15 28:76 15
8 Launceston United U21 21 2 1 18 19:115 7
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