Sport Picks
Burnley U18 vs Stoke City U18 Prediction & H2H Stats
England
Premier League U18 2025/2026 
Match Events
2'
2'
Taylor W.
Assist: Scanlon L.
52'
52'
Taylor W.
Assist: Okonkwo D.
64'
64'
Kelly I.
Assist: Midwood T.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League U18 2025/2026 game between Burnley U18 and Stoke City U18 finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Burnley U18.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
62%
30%
8%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Burnley U18
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
62%
/ High Confidence
- Burnley U18 carry the better recent record into this one.
- 62% — that's where the model lands on Burnley U18 taking it.
- Regular Premier League U18 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).
- Burnley U18 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Burnley U18 Clean Sheet 10%
Stoke City U18 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Burnley U18 | Stoke City U18 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 6 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 15 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 2.1 | 1.73 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.35 | 2.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.63 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 Premier League U18
Burnley U18 vs Stoke City U18
0:1
Apr 18, 2026 Premier League U18
Burnley U18 vs Stoke City U18
3:2
Nov 29, 2025 Premier League U18
Stoke City U18 vs Burnley U18
1:2
Feb 26, 2022 Premier League U18
Burnley U18 vs Stoke City U18
3:1
Nov 5, 2021 Premier League U18
Stoke City U18 vs Burnley U18
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Burnley U18 Compare
Top Goalscorer Taylor W.
2 Goals Assists Leader Mmakogu J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31
Stoke City U18 Compare
Top Goalscorer Kelly I.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Burnley U18 83 / 100
Stoke City U18 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Burnley U18 Stoke City U18
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Burnley U18 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Burnley U18 found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (31 games).
Stoke City U18 let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Burnley U18 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Burnley U18 VS Stoke City U18
2.5 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 88%
Recent Form & Match History
Burnley U18
(Home) 19 Sept
Burnley U18
2 : 2 Nottingham U18
12 Sept
Liverpool U18
4 : 2 Burnley U18
05 Sept
Leeds U18
1 : 3 Burnley U18
29 Aug
Burnley U18
2 : 2 Sunderland U18
22 Aug
Derby U18
1 : 4 Burnley U18
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Burnley U18
2 : 2 Nottingham U18
29 Aug
Burnley U18
2 : 2 Sunderland U18
15 Aug
Burnley U18
0 : 1 Stoke City U18
09 May
Burnley U18
7 : 4 Leeds U18
18 Apr
Burnley U18
3 : 2 Stoke City U18
Page 1 of 3
Stoke City U18
(Away) 19 Sept
Leicester U18
2 : 2 Stoke City U18
12 Sept
Stoke City U18
0 : 2 Derby U18
05 Sept
Stoke City U18
5 : 8 Manchester City U18
29 Aug
Nottingham U18
3 : 1 Stoke City U18
22 Aug
Newcastle Utd U18
3 : 2 Stoke City U18
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Leicester U18
2 : 2 Stoke City U18
29 Aug
Nottingham U18
3 : 1 Stoke City U18
22 Aug
Newcastle Utd U18
3 : 2 Stoke City U18
15 Aug
Burnley U18
0 : 1 Stoke City U18
09 May
Manchester United U18
3 : 1 Stoke City U18
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City U18 | 26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 96:39 | 60 |
| 2 | Manchester United U18 | 26 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 65:24 | 56 |
| 3 | Newcastle Utd U18 | 26 | 16 | 1 | 9 | 55:44 | 49 |
| 4 | Everton U18 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 54:45 | 42 |
| 5 | Nottingham U18 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 50:47 | 42 |
| 6 | Sunderland U18 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 56:44 | 39 |
| 7 | Middlesbrough U18 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 45:45 | 39 |
| 8 | Liverpool U18 | 26 | 11 | 2 | 13 | 70:70 | 35 |
| 9 | Blackburn U18 | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 51:68 | 33 |
| 10 | Derby U18 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 14 | 44:67 | 32 |
| 11 | Burnley U18 | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 49:68 | 30 |
| 12 | Leeds U18 | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 47:68 | 29 |
| 13 | Wolves U18 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 29:55 | 20 |
| 14 | Stoke City U18 | 26 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 42:69 | 17 |
Promotion - Premier League U18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea U18 | 28 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 88:24 | 67 |
| 2 | Tottenham U18 | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 70:36 | 54 |
| 3 | Aston Villa U18 | 28 | 17 | 3 | 8 | 82:55 | 54 |
| 4 | Brighton U18 | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 63:41 | 49 |
| 5 | Crystal Palace U18 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 74:52 | 46 |
| 6 | West Brom U18 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 68:50 | 46 |
| 7 | Southampton U18 | 28 | 13 | 3 | 12 | 65:61 | 42 |
| 8 | West Ham U18 | 28 | 13 | 2 | 13 | 62:59 | 41 |
| 9 | Leicester U18 | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 46:53 | 36 |
| 10 | Arsenal U18 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 46:57 | 33 |
| 11 | Fulham U18 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 48:65 | 33 |
| 12 | Norwich U18 | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 47:67 | 26 |
| 13 | Reading U18 | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 38:66 | 26 |
| 14 | Birmingham U18 | 28 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 29:88 | 21 |
| 15 | Ipswich U18 | 28 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 41:93 | 20 |
Promotion - Premier League U18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
