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Burnley U21 vs Aston Villa U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Premier League 2 Burnley FC Training Centre, Burnley
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
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AI Match Summary

Burnley U21 host Aston Villa U21 in the Premier League 2. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Aston Villa U21 have shipped 2 goals a game lately, while Burnley U21 have conceded 2 and scored 1.48. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (2.13 xG vs 1.75) point toward Aston Villa U21. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Burnley U21
30%
Draws
29%
Aston Villa U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Burnley U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aston Villa U21 lately — more wins on the board than Burnley U21.
  • Win probability leans Burnley U21's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Burnley U21 Clean Sheet 12%
Aston Villa U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burnley U21 Aston Villa U21
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.48 1.7
Goals Conceded 2 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burnley U21 56 / 100
Aston Villa U21 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burnley U21 Aston Villa U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burnley U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aston Villa U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Burnley U21 scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Burnley U21 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Aston Villa U21's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Burnley U21 VS Aston Villa U21
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Burnley U21

(Home)
09 Oct
Burnley U21
2 : 2
Preston U21
18 Sept
Burnley U21
4 : 1
Derby U21
14 Sept
Nottingham U21
1 : 0
Burnley U21
08 Sept
Fleetwood Town U21
1 : 2
Burnley U21
28 Aug
Burnley U21
1 : 3
Reading U21
Page 1 of 6

Aston Villa U21

(Away)
22 Sept
Crewe
4 : 1
Aston Villa U21
18 Sept
Aston Villa U21
2 : 2
Middlesbrough U21
15 Sept
Aston Villa U21
5 : 1
Real Sociedad B
11 Sept
Fulham U21
3 : 3
Aston Villa U21
02 Sept
Aston Villa U21
0 : 4
Brondby U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tottenham U21 4 3 1 0 13:7 10
2 Southampton U21 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
3 Sunderland U21 5 3 1 1 15:11 10
4 Manchester United U21 3 3 0 0 12:3 9
5 Chelsea U21 4 3 0 1 13:8 9
6 Bournemouth U21 4 3 0 1 8:6 9
7 Nottingham U21 4 3 0 1 7:7 9
8 Liverpool U21 4 2 1 1 8:4 7
9 Fulham U21 4 2 1 1 12:9 7
10 Leeds U21 4 2 1 1 11:9 7
11 Reading U21 4 2 1 1 7:6 7
12 Norwich U21 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
13 Brentford U21 4 2 0 2 10:8 6
14 Everton U21 4 1 2 1 4:3 5
15 West Ham U21 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
16 Aston Villa U21 4 1 2 1 7:8 5
17 Stoke City U21 4 1 1 2 7:5 4
18 Crystal Palace U21 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
19 Brighton U21 4 1 1 2 7:9 4
20 Derby U21 4 1 1 2 9:12 4
21 Arsenal U21 5 0 4 1 6:9 4
22 Manchester City U21 3 1 0 2 7:6 3
23 Burnley U21 4 1 0 3 8:9 3
24 Blackburn U21 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
25 Ipswich U21 3 1 0 2 6:10 3
26 Birmingham U21 3 0 2 1 5:7 2
27 Middlesbrough U21 4 0 2 2 7:10 2
28 West Brom U21 3 0 1 2 8:11 1
29 Leicester U21 3 0 1 2 1:7 1
30 Newcastle Utd U21 3 0 0 3 1:9 0
31 Wolves U21 3 0 0 3 0:10 0
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