Sport Picks
Burnley U21 vs Brighton U21
England
Premier League 2 2025/2026 Burnley FC Training Centre, Burnley 
Match Events
22'
22'
Egan-Riley R.
46'
46'
Sub
Sharpe M. In: Masara V.
Out: Sharpe M.
49'
49'
Nti S.
Assist: Oriola N.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2 2025/2026 game between Burnley U21 and Brighton U21 finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brighton U21.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
20%
46%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Brighton U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Brighton U21 come out ahead of Burnley U21 on wins alone.
- Model gives Brighton U21 a 46% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Burnley U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Brighton U21 Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Burnley U21 | Brighton U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1.64 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.1 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 16, 2026 Premier League 2
Burnley U21 vs Brighton U21
0:2
Dec 7, 2024 Premier League Cup
Brighton U21 vs Burnley U21
0:0
Oct 12, 2024 Premier League Cup
Burnley U21 vs Brighton U21
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Burnley U21 Compare
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Brighton U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Nti S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Oriola N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Burnley U21 26 / 100
Brighton U21 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Burnley U21 Brighton U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Brighton U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Burnley U21 scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Brighton U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.
H2H data points to 1.33 goals as a typical output.
Burnley U21 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Burnley U21 VS Brighton U21
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Burnley U21
(Home) 08 Sept
Fleetwood Town U21
1 : 2 Burnley U21
28 Aug
Burnley U21
1 : 3 Reading U21
21 Aug
Fulham U21
4 : 3 Burnley U21
14 Aug
Wolves U21
2 : 0 Burnley U21
14 May
Sunderland U21
1 : 2 Burnley U21
Page 1 of 6
28 Aug
Burnley U21
1 : 3 Reading U21
13 Apr
Burnley U21
2 : 1 West Brom U21
12 Apr
Burnley U21
0 : 2 Blackburn U21
16 Mar
Burnley U21
0 : 2 Brighton U21
05 Mar
Burnley U21
5 : 2 Colchester U21
Page 1 of 3
Brighton U21
(Away) 04 Sept
West Ham U21
1 : 1 Brighton U21
31 Aug
Brighton U21
2 : 2 Arsenal U21
21 Aug
Aston Villa U21
2 : 1 Brighton U21
18 Aug
Northampton
0 : 3 Brighton U21
14 Aug
Brighton U21
2 : 0 Millwall U21
Page 1 of 6
04 Sept
West Ham U21
1 : 1 Brighton U21
21 Aug
Aston Villa U21
2 : 1 Brighton U21
18 Aug
Northampton
0 : 3 Brighton U21
28 Jul
Worthing FC
2 : 1 Brighton U21
08 May
Tottenham U21
1 : 3 Brighton U21
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea U21 | 20 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 52:25 | 43 |
| 2 | Manchester United U21 | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 43:26 | 43 |
| 3 | Manchester City U21 | 20 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 59:21 | 40 |
| 4 | Fulham U21 | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 48:32 | 38 |
| 5 | Ipswich U21 | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 45:45 | 38 |
| 6 | Southampton U21 | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 36:29 | 36 |
| 7 | Liverpool U21 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 49:36 | 35 |
| 8 | Tottenham U21 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 42:32 | 35 |
| 9 | Leicester U21 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 48:42 | 31 |
| 10 | Crystal Palace U21 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 36:31 | 31 |
| 11 | Aston Villa U21 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 32:35 | 31 |
| 12 | Brighton U21 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 38:25 | 30 |
| 13 | West Ham U21 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 44:35 | 30 |
| 14 | Arsenal U21 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 28:33 | 29 |
| 15 | Sunderland U21 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 41:40 | 28 |
| 16 | Middlesbrough U21 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 37:28 | 27 |
| 17 | Nottingham U21 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 23:23 | 26 |
| 18 | Everton U21 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 33:36 | 25 |
| 19 | Reading U21 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 29:36 | 25 |
| 20 | Stoke City U21 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 29:42 | 25 |
| 21 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 30:35 | 24 |
| 22 | Wolves U21 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 30:45 | 23 |
| 23 | Norwich U21 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 32:42 | 20 |
| 24 | Derby U21 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 26:44 | 20 |
| 25 | Leeds U21 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 28:40 | 18 |
| 26 | West Brom U21 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 26:41 | 18 |
| 27 | Birmingham U21 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 26:52 | 17 |
| 28 | Blackburn U21 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 27:46 | 14 |
| 29 | Burnley U21 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 22:42 | 13 |
Promotion - Premier League 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Professional Development League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
