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Burnley U21 vs Preston U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Premier League Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Castell L.
Assist: Johnson Z.
27' Event
Reid S.
48' Event
Pouani B.
Assist: Castell L.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-2. This leg finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Burnley U21
20%
Draws
51%
Preston U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Preston U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Burnley U21 lately — more wins on the board than Preston U21.
  • Burnley U21 are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Burnley U21 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Burnley U21 Clean Sheet 14%
Preston U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burnley U21 Preston U21
Matches Played 29 19
Wins 9 5
Draws 5 6
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.45 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.97 2.05
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2026 Premier League Cup
Burnley U21 vs Preston U21
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Burnley U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Castell L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pouani B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Preston U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Reid S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Snowball N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burnley U21 57 / 100
Preston U21 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burnley U21 Preston U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burnley U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Preston U21 conceded in 84% of 19 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Burnley U21 scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Burnley U21 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Burnley U21 VS Preston U21
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Burnley U21

(Home)
23 Oct
West Ham U21
3 : 1
Burnley U21
17 Oct
Burnley U21
0 : 1
Aston Villa U21
09 Oct
Burnley U21
2 : 2
Preston U21
18 Sept
Burnley U21
4 : 1
Derby U21
14 Sept
Nottingham U21
1 : 0
Burnley U21
Page 1 of 6

Preston U21

(Away)
02 Nov
Preston U21
1 : 0
Fleetwood Town U21
09 Oct
Burnley U21
2 : 2
Preston U21
02 Sept
Preston U21
0 : 1
Wolves U21
18 Aug
Fleetwood Town U21
1 : 2
Preston U21
28 Jul
Blackburn U21
5 : 2
Preston U21
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Southampton U21 4 2 1 1 11:4 7
2 Blackburn U21 4 2 1 1 9:10 7
3 QPR U21 4 2 0 2 11:10 6
4 Bolton U21 4 0 2 2 5:12 2
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bournemouth U21 4 3 0 1 11:7 9
2 Leicester U21 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
3 Cardiff U21 4 2 0 2 10:9 6
4 Plymouth U21 3 0 0 3 4:12 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huddersfield U21 4 2 2 0 11:6 8
2 Swansea U21 3 2 1 0 8:2 7
3 Birmingham U21 4 1 0 3 6:10 3
4 Gillingham U21 3 0 1 2 2:9 1
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nottingham U21 3 3 0 0 10:3 9
2 Newcastle Utd U21 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
3 Peterborough U21 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
4 Luton U21 4 0 0 4 3:13 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wolves U21 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Preston U21 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
3 Burnley U21 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
4 Fleetwood Town U21 4 0 1 3 3:6 1
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brighton U21 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
2 Sheffield Utd U21 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
3 Millwall U21 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
4 West Ham U21 4 0 1 3 3:7 1
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bristol City U21 4 2 1 1 10:7 7
2 Norwich U21 3 2 1 0 7:4 7
3 Exeter U21 3 2 0 1 10:9 6
4 Reading U21 4 0 0 4 6:13 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coventry U21 4 3 0 1 7:6 9
2 West Brom U21 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
3 Ipswich U21 4 1 1 2 8:9 4
4 Bromley U21 3 1 0 2 6:6 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Charlton U21 4 3 1 0 11:5 10
2 Leeds U21 4 1 2 1 5:4 5
3 Stockport U21 4 1 0 3 8:11 3
4 Stoke City U21 4 0 3 1 4:8 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brentford U21 4 3 1 0 9:4 10
2 Hull City U21 4 2 2 0 6:2 8
3 Wycombe U21 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
4 Derby U21 3 0 0 3 3:9 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams