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Burnley U21 vs Preston U21

England England

Premier League Cup
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Premier League Cup. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Burnley U21 at 1.71 goals for, 2 against; Preston U21 at 1.35 for, 2.18 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.56 - 1.42) back Burnley U21 to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Burnley U21
15%
Draws
46%
Preston U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Preston U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Burnley U21 lately — more wins on the board than Preston U21.
  • 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Burnley U21 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Burnley U21 Clean Sheet 17%
Preston U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burnley U21 Preston U21
Matches Played 31 17
Wins 12 4
Draws 4 5
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.71 1.35
Goals Conceded 2 2.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.42
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burnley U21 36 / 100
Preston U21 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burnley U21 Preston U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Preston U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Preston U21 conceded in 88% of 17 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Burnley U21 scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Burnley U21 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Preston U21 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Burnley U21 VS Preston U21
1.63 Goals Scored 1.33
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Burnley U21

(Home)
08 Sept
Fleetwood Town U21
1 : 2
Burnley U21
28 Aug
Burnley U21
1 : 3
Reading U21
21 Aug
Fulham U21
4 : 3
Burnley U21
14 Aug
Wolves U21
2 : 0
Burnley U21
14 May
Sunderland U21
1 : 2
Burnley U21
Page 1 of 7

Preston U21

(Away)
02 Sept
Preston U21
0 : 1
Wolves U21
18 Aug
Fleetwood Town U21
1 : 2
Preston U21
28 Jul
Blackburn U21
5 : 2
Preston U21
21 Jul
Lancaster
2 : 2
Preston U21
07 Jul
Longridge Town
0 : 2
Preston U21
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Southampton U21 2 1 1 0 5:1 4
2 QPR U21 2 1 0 1 6:5 3
3 Blackburn U21 2 1 0 1 4:6 3
4 Bolton U21 2 0 1 1 2:5 1
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cardiff U21 2 2 0 0 7:3 6
2 Leicester U21 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
3 Bournemouth U21 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
4 Plymouth U21 2 0 0 2 3:6 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huddersfield U21 2 1 1 0 6:3 4
2 Swansea U21 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
3 Gillingham U21 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
4 Birmingham U21 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Peterborough U21 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
2 Nottingham U21 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 Newcastle Utd U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Luton U21 2 0 0 2 0:6 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wolves U21 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
2 Preston U21 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Burnley U21 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
4 Fleetwood Town U21 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brighton U21 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
2 Sheffield Utd U21 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
3 West Ham U21 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
4 Millwall U21 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bristol City U21 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
2 Norwich U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Exeter U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Reading U21 2 0 0 2 1:6 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bromley U21 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 West Brom U21 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Coventry U21 2 1 0 1 4:5 3
4 Ipswich U21 1 0 0 1 2:4 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Charlton U21 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
2 Stockport U21 2 1 0 1 5:2 3
3 Leeds U21 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
4 Stoke City U21 2 0 1 1 0:4 1
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hull City U21 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
2 Brentford U21 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Wycombe U21 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
4 Derby U21 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams