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Burnley U21 vs Reading U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Premier League 2 Lancashire County Ground, Leyland
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Stanley M.
35' Event
Ntege T.
Assist: Osho E.
42' Event
Pouani B.

AI Match Summary

Reading U21 in this Premier League 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Reading U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Burnley U21
20%
Draws
40%
Reading U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Reading U21 lately — more wins on the board than Burnley U21.
  • Win probability leans Burnley U21's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Burnley U21 Clean Sheet 14%
Reading U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burnley U21 Reading U21
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 13
Draws 5 2
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.54 1.59
Goals Conceded 2 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Premier League 2
Burnley U21 vs Reading U21
1:3
Jan 30, 2026 Premier League 2
Burnley U21 vs Reading U21
1:3
Feb 4, 2025 Premier League Cup
Burnley U21 vs Reading U21
4:1
Nov 8, 2024 Premier League Cup
Reading U21 vs Burnley U21
1:3
Aug 15, 2022 Professional Development League
Reading U21 vs Burnley U21
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Burnley U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pouani B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Reading U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ntege T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Smith K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burnley U21 39 / 100
Reading U21 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burnley U21 Reading U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burnley U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Burnley U21 scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Reading U21 let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Burnley U21 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Burnley U21 VS Reading U21
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Burnley U21

(Home)
09 Oct
Burnley U21
2 : 2
Preston U21
18 Sept
Burnley U21
4 : 1
Derby U21
14 Sept
Nottingham U21
1 : 0
Burnley U21
08 Sept
Fleetwood Town U21
1 : 2
Burnley U21
28 Aug
Burnley U21
1 : 3
Reading U21
Page 1 of 6

Reading U21

(Away)
09 Oct
Reading U21
2 : 3
Norwich U21
19 Sept
Reading U21
0 : 0
Everton U21
14 Sept
Blackburn U21
2 : 3
Reading U21
07 Sept
Reading U21
1 : 2
Bristol City U21
28 Aug
Burnley U21
1 : 3
Reading U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tottenham U21 4 3 1 0 13:7 10
2 Southampton U21 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
3 Sunderland U21 5 3 1 1 15:11 10
4 Manchester United U21 3 3 0 0 12:3 9
5 Chelsea U21 4 3 0 1 13:8 9
6 Bournemouth U21 4 3 0 1 8:6 9
7 Nottingham U21 4 3 0 1 7:7 9
8 Liverpool U21 4 2 1 1 8:4 7
9 Fulham U21 4 2 1 1 12:9 7
10 Leeds U21 4 2 1 1 11:9 7
11 Reading U21 4 2 1 1 7:6 7
12 Norwich U21 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
13 Brentford U21 4 2 0 2 10:8 6
14 Everton U21 4 1 2 1 4:3 5
15 West Ham U21 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
16 Aston Villa U21 4 1 2 1 7:8 5
17 Stoke City U21 4 1 1 2 7:5 4
18 Crystal Palace U21 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
19 Brighton U21 4 1 1 2 7:9 4
20 Derby U21 4 1 1 2 9:12 4
21 Arsenal U21 5 0 4 1 6:9 4
22 Manchester City U21 3 1 0 2 7:6 3
23 Burnley U21 4 1 0 3 8:9 3
24 Blackburn U21 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
25 Ipswich U21 3 1 0 2 6:10 3
26 Birmingham U21 3 0 2 1 5:7 2
27 Middlesbrough U21 4 0 2 2 7:10 2
28 West Brom U21 3 0 1 2 8:11 1
29 Leicester U21 3 0 1 2 1:7 1
30 Newcastle Utd U21 3 0 0 3 1:9 0
31 Wolves U21 3 0 0 3 0:10 0
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