Sport Picks
Burnley U23 vs Aston Villa U23 Prediction & H2H Stats
England
Premier League 2 2021/2022 Lancashire County Ground, Leyland 
Match Events
10'
10'
Patterson T.
Assist: Vassilev I.
18'
18'
Costelloe D.
38'
38'
Lindley H.
AI Match Summary
Burnley U23 in this Premier League 2 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Burnley U23.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
65%
15%
20%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Burnley U23
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Burnley U23 have won more games recently than Aston Villa U23.
- Model gives Burnley U23 a 65% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Burnley U23 Clean Sheet 17%
Aston Villa U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Burnley U23 | Aston Villa U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.67 | 1.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 1.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2022 Premier League 2
Burnley U23 vs Aston Villa U23
2:1
Nov 22, 2021 Premier League 2
Aston Villa U23 vs Burnley U23
4:1
Mar 12, 2021 Premier League 2
Aston Villa U23 vs Burnley U23
2:3
Nov 9, 2020 Premier League 2
Burnley U23 vs Aston Villa U23
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Burnley U23 Compare
Top Goalscorer Costelloe D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sassi D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09
Aston Villa U23 Compare
Top Goalscorer Patterson T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Burnley U23 84 / 100
Aston Villa U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Burnley U23 Aston Villa U23
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Burnley U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Burnley U23 scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.
Aston Villa U23 has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 4.25 goals per match.
Burnley U23 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Burnley U23 VS Aston Villa U23
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Burnley U23
(Home) 29 Apr
Fulham U23
5 : 3 Burnley U23
25 Apr
Burnley U23
2 : 1 Aston Villa U23
22 Apr
Stoke City U23
0 : 0 Burnley U23
15 Apr
Burnley U23
3 : 2 West Brom U23
08 Apr
Burnley U23
5 : 1 Newcastle Utd U23
Page 1 of 6
25 Apr
Burnley U23
2 : 1 Aston Villa U23
15 Apr
Burnley U23
3 : 2 West Brom U23
08 Apr
Burnley U23
5 : 1 Newcastle Utd U23
02 Apr
Burnley U23
2 : 1 Southampton U23
11 Feb
Burnley U23
2 : 1 Everton U23
Page 1 of 3
Aston Villa U23
(Away) 12 Jul
Hednesford
4 : 3 Aston Villa U23
02 May
Aston Villa U23
1 : 2 Newcastle Utd U23
25 Apr
Burnley U23
2 : 1 Aston Villa U23
18 Apr
Sunderland U23
1 : 3 Aston Villa U23
01 Apr
Aston Villa U23
1 : 4 Stoke City U23
Page 1 of 6
12 Jul
Hednesford
4 : 3 Aston Villa U23
25 Apr
Burnley U23
2 : 1 Aston Villa U23
18 Apr
Sunderland U23
1 : 3 Aston Villa U23
18 Mar
Wolves U23
3 : 0 Aston Villa U23
25 Feb
Fulham U23
2 : 1 Aston Villa U23
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City U23 | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 65:32 | 54 |
| 2 | West Ham U23 | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 59:39 | 48 |
| 3 | Arsenal U23 | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 56:48 | 41 |
| 4 | Liverpool U23 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 47:37 | 40 |
| 5 | Crystal Palace U23 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 54:50 | 39 |
| 6 | Manchester United U23 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 46:43 | 39 |
| 7 | Tottenham U23 | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 49:45 | 37 |
| 8 | Leicester U23 | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38:53 | 37 |
| 9 | Blackburn U23 | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 50:56 | 35 |
| 10 | Brighton U23 | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 41:41 | 34 |
| 11 | Everton U23 | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 33:54 | 29 |
| 12 | Chelsea U23 | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 39:47 | 28 |
| 13 | Leeds U23 | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 44:49 | 27 |
| 14 | Derby U23 | 26 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 31:58 | 15 |
Promotion - Premier League 2 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2 2021/2022 (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fulham U23 | 26 | 20 | 2 | 4 | 64:27 | 62 |
| 2 | Wolves U23 | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 46:37 | 47 |
| 3 | Stoke City U23 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 34:36 | 43 |
| 4 | Nottingham U23 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 52:31 | 42 |
| 5 | Norwich U23 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 64:52 | 39 |
| 6 | Burnley U23 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 46:39 | 39 |
| 7 | Southampton U23 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 45:42 | 39 |
| 8 | Newcastle Utd U23 | 26 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 51:56 | 38 |
| 9 | West Brom U23 | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 44:54 | 35 |
| 10 | Aston Villa U23 | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 53:51 | 32 |
| 11 | Birmingham U23 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 34:51 | 26 |
| 12 | Middlesbrough U23 | 26 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 31:50 | 26 |
| 13 | Sunderland U23 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 16 | 35:49 | 24 |
| 14 | Reading U23 | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 32:56 | 23 |
Promotion - Premier League 2 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2 2021/2022 (Promotion - Play Offs)
