Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Burnley U23 vs Nottingham U23

England England

Premier League 2 2021/2022 Tameside Stadium, Ashton-under-Lyne
Burnley U23 Logo

Burnley U23

1 - 1
FT
Nottingham U23 Logo

Nottingham U23

Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Bedeau J.
22'
Sub
McGlynn J. In: Tucker N.
Out: McGlynn J.
30' Event
Woods B.
Assist: Helm M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2 2021/2022 game between Burnley U23 and Nottingham U23 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Burnley U23
20%
Draws
40%
Nottingham U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Burnley U23 haven't matched Nottingham U23's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Burnley U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Nottingham U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burnley U23 Nottingham U23
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 14
Draws 6 5
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.67 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 10, 2021 Premier League 2
Burnley U23 vs Nottingham U23
1:1
Oct 1, 2021 Premier League 2
Nottingham U23 vs Burnley U23
1:1
Jan 7, 2020 Professional Development League
Nottingham U23 vs Burnley U23
2:1
Sep 23, 2019 Professional Development League
Burnley U23 vs Nottingham U23
1:1
Apr 5, 2019 Professional Development League
Nottingham U23 vs Burnley U23
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Burnley U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Woods B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Nottingham U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Hammond O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burnley U23 29 / 100
Nottingham U23 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burnley U23 Nottingham U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burnley U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Burnley U23 scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Nottingham U23 let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Burnley U23 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Burnley U23 VS Nottingham U23
2.13 Goals Scored 3
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Burnley U23

(Home)
29 Apr
Fulham U23
5 : 3
Burnley U23
25 Apr
Burnley U23
2 : 1
Aston Villa U23
22 Apr
Stoke City U23
0 : 0
Burnley U23
15 Apr
Burnley U23
3 : 2
West Brom U23
08 Apr
Burnley U23
5 : 1
Newcastle Utd U23
Page 1 of 6

Nottingham U23

(Away)
15 May
Stoke City U23
2 : 0
Nottingham U23
29 Apr
Birmingham U23
0 : 3
Nottingham U23
22 Apr
Nottingham U23
1 : 1
Middlesbrough U23
04 Apr
Nottingham U23
2 : 0
Stoke City U23
01 Apr
Nottingham U23
1 : 0
Wolves U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U23 26 16 6 4 65:32 54
2 West Ham U23 26 15 3 8 59:39 48
3 Arsenal U23 26 10 11 5 56:48 41
4 Liverpool U23 26 11 7 8 47:37 40
5 Crystal Palace U23 26 12 3 11 54:50 39
6 Manchester United U23 26 11 6 9 46:43 39
7 Tottenham U23 26 10 7 9 49:45 37
8 Leicester U23 26 10 7 9 38:53 37
9 Blackburn U23 26 9 8 9 50:56 35
10 Brighton U23 26 9 7 10 41:41 34
11 Everton U23 26 8 5 13 33:54 29
12 Chelsea U23 26 7 7 12 39:47 28
13 Leeds U23 26 7 6 13 44:49 27
14 Derby U23 26 4 3 19 31:58 15
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fulham U23 26 20 2 4 64:27 62
2 Wolves U23 26 14 5 7 46:37 47
3 Stoke City U23 26 12 7 7 34:36 43
4 Nottingham U23 26 12 6 8 52:31 42
5 Norwich U23 26 12 3 11 64:52 39
6 Burnley U23 26 11 6 9 46:39 39
7 Southampton U23 26 12 3 11 45:42 39
8 Newcastle Utd U23 26 12 2 12 51:56 38
9 West Brom U23 26 10 5 11 44:54 35
10 Aston Villa U23 26 9 5 12 53:51 32
11 Birmingham U23 26 7 5 14 34:51 26
12 Middlesbrough U23 26 8 2 16 31:50 26
13 Sunderland U23 26 7 3 16 35:49 24
14 Reading U23 26 5 8 13 32:56 23
Promotion - Premier League 2 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2 2021/2022 (Promotion - Play Offs)