Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Burnley U23 vs Peterborough U23

England England

Premier League Cup 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
O'Connell C.
(Penalty)
30' Event
Unwin S.
43' Event
Ishola H.

AI Match Summary

Peterborough U23 in this Premier League Cup 2021/2022 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Burnley U23
30%
Draws
12%
Peterborough U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Burnley U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Burnley U23 lately — more wins on the board than Peterborough U23.
  • Win probability leans Burnley U23's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Burnley U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Peterborough U23, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Burnley U23 Clean Sheet 11%
Peterborough U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burnley U23 Peterborough U23
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 6 8
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.67 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2022 Premier League Cup
Peterborough U23 vs Burnley U23
5:2
Oct 19, 2021 Premier League Cup
Burnley U23 vs Peterborough U23
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Burnley U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Unwin S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Peterborough U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ishola H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burnley U23 83 / 100
Peterborough U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burnley U23 Peterborough U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burnley U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Burnley U23 scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Peterborough U23 conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Burnley U23 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Burnley U23 VS Peterborough U23
2.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Burnley U23

(Home)
29 Apr
Fulham U23
5 : 3
Burnley U23
25 Apr
Burnley U23
2 : 1
Aston Villa U23
22 Apr
Stoke City U23
0 : 0
Burnley U23
15 Apr
Burnley U23
3 : 2
West Brom U23
08 Apr
Burnley U23
5 : 1
Newcastle Utd U23
Page 1 of 6

Peterborough U23

(Away)
03 May
Colchester U23
2 : 2
Peterborough U23
29 Apr
Peterborough U23
0 : 2
Ipswich U23
20 Apr
Peterborough U23
0 : 0
Crewe U23
10 Apr
Peterborough U23
0 : 1
Wolves U23
01 Apr
Millwall U23
1 : 0
Peterborough U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Brom U23 6 4 1 1 18:8 13
2 Arsenal U23 6 2 2 2 11:12 8
3 Bournemouth U23 6 2 2 2 8:9 8
4 Southampton U23 6 0 3 3 7:15 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough U23 6 3 0 3 13:10 9
2 QPR U23 6 3 0 3 15:14 9
3 Blackburn U23 6 3 0 3 16:16 9
4 Nottingham U23 6 3 0 3 13:17 9
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Derby U23 6 5 1 0 17:9 16
2 Charlton U23 6 3 1 2 14:6 10
3 Norwich U23 6 1 2 3 12:16 5
4 Reading U23 6 1 0 5 6:18 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Peterborough U23 6 3 1 2 13:8 10
2 Sheffield Utd U23 6 3 1 2 9:10 10
3 Everton U23 6 3 0 3 8:9 9
4 Burnley U23 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wigan U23 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Leeds U23 6 2 2 2 10:10 8
3 Sunderland U23 6 1 3 2 9:13 6
4 Mansfield U23 6 1 2 3 7:9 5
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham U23 6 4 1 1 11:5 13
2 Wolves U23 6 3 2 1 8:6 11
3 Exeter U23 6 1 2 3 9:12 5
4 Swansea U23 6 0 3 3 7:12 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huddersfield U23 6 5 1 0 17:3 16
2 Newcastle Utd U23 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
3 Watford U23 6 2 0 4 7:15 6
4 Birmingham U23 6 1 0 5 6:15 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fulham U23 6 5 1 0 14:4 16
2 Stoke City U23 6 3 0 3 15:11 9
3 Colchester U23 6 1 2 3 8:10 5
4 Southend U23 6 1 1 4 4:16 4
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)