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Burnley U23 vs West Brom U23 Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

Premier League 2 2021/2022 Lancashire County Ground, Leyland
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Sub
Harker R. In: McGlynn J.
Out: Harker R.
19'
Armstrong F.
30' Event
Thompson M.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2 2021/2022 game between Burnley U23 and West Brom U23 finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Burnley U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Burnley U23
15%
Draws
40%
West Brom U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Burnley U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Burnley U23 haven't matched West Brom U23's recent run of results.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Burnley U23 taking it.
  • Regular Premier League 2 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Burnley U23 Clean Sheet 11%
West Brom U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burnley U23 West Brom U23
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.67 2.06
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2022 Premier League 2
Burnley U23 vs West Brom U23
3:2
Aug 16, 2021 Premier League 2
West Brom U23 vs Burnley U23
3:2
Mar 8, 2021 Premier League 2
West Brom U23 vs Burnley U23
2:1
Mar 1, 2021 Premier League 2
Burnley U23 vs West Brom U23
3:1
Mar 1, 2019 Premier League Cup
Burnley U23 vs West Brom U23
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Burnley U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Thompson M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Costelloe D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

West Brom U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Andrews J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Richards R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burnley U23 65 / 100
West Brom U23 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burnley U23 West Brom U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burnley U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Burnley U23 found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

West Brom U23 let in goals in 90% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Burnley U23 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Burnley U23 VS West Brom U23
2.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Burnley U23

(Home)
29 Apr
Fulham U23
5 : 3
Burnley U23
25 Apr
Burnley U23
2 : 1
Aston Villa U23
22 Apr
Stoke City U23
0 : 0
Burnley U23
15 Apr
Burnley U23
3 : 2
West Brom U23
08 Apr
Burnley U23
5 : 1
Newcastle Utd U23
Page 1 of 6

West Brom U23

(Away)
27 Jul
Rushall
2 : 1
West Brom U23
13 May
West Brom U23
3 : 2
Wolves U23
03 May
West Brom U23
2 : 1
Fulham U23
29 Apr
Stoke City U23
2 : 1
West Brom U23
25 Apr
West Brom U23
3 : 2
Norwich U23
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U23 26 16 6 4 65:32 54
2 West Ham U23 26 15 3 8 59:39 48
3 Arsenal U23 26 10 11 5 56:48 41
4 Liverpool U23 26 11 7 8 47:37 40
5 Crystal Palace U23 26 12 3 11 54:50 39
6 Manchester United U23 26 11 6 9 46:43 39
7 Tottenham U23 26 10 7 9 49:45 37
8 Leicester U23 26 10 7 9 38:53 37
9 Blackburn U23 26 9 8 9 50:56 35
10 Brighton U23 26 9 7 10 41:41 34
11 Everton U23 26 8 5 13 33:54 29
12 Chelsea U23 26 7 7 12 39:47 28
13 Leeds U23 26 7 6 13 44:49 27
14 Derby U23 26 4 3 19 31:58 15
Promotion - Premier League 2 2022/2023 (Main)
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fulham U23 26 20 2 4 64:27 62
2 Wolves U23 26 14 5 7 46:37 47
3 Stoke City U23 26 12 7 7 34:36 43
4 Nottingham U23 26 12 6 8 52:31 42
5 Norwich U23 26 12 3 11 64:52 39
6 Burnley U23 26 11 6 9 46:39 39
7 Southampton U23 26 12 3 11 45:42 39
8 Newcastle Utd U23 26 12 2 12 51:56 38
9 West Brom U23 26 10 5 11 44:54 35
10 Aston Villa U23 26 9 5 12 53:51 32
11 Birmingham U23 26 7 5 14 34:51 26
12 Middlesbrough U23 26 8 2 16 31:50 26
13 Sunderland U23 26 7 3 16 35:49 24
14 Reading U23 26 5 8 13 32:56 23
Promotion - Premier League 2 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2 2021/2022 (Promotion - Play Offs)