Sport Picks
Burnley vs Middlesbrough - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Championship Turf Moor, Burnley 
Match Events
23'
23'
Morris A.
Assist: Berhalter S.
28'
28'
Mejbri H.
39'
39'
Lankshear W.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Championship matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
35%
45%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Middlesbrough
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Middlesbrough have won more games recently than Burnley.
- Middlesbrough are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Burnley Clean Sheet 10%
Middlesbrough Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Burnley | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 27 |
| Wins | 2 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 16 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.11 | 1.81 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 2, 2026 Championship
Burnley vs Middlesbrough
1:1
Dec 29, 2024 Championship
Middlesbrough vs Burnley
0:0
Dec 6, 2024 Championship
Burnley vs Middlesbrough
1:1
Apr 7, 2023 Championship
Middlesbrough vs Burnley
1:2
Dec 17, 2022 Championship
Burnley vs Middlesbrough
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Burnley Compare
Top Goalscorer Raghouber U.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Middlesbrough Compare
Top Goalscorer Morris A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Burnley 10 / 100
Middlesbrough 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Burnley Middlesbrough
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Middlesbrough Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Burnley scored in 81% of their last 27 outings.
Middlesbrough has conceded goals in 81% of their last 27 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Burnley stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Burnley VS Middlesbrough
1.25 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Burnley
(Home) 24 Oct
Lincoln City
4 : 1 Burnley
16 Oct
Burnley
1 : 2 Wolves
13 Oct
Burnley
2 : 2 Charlton
10 Oct
Watford
0 : 4 Burnley
19 Sept
Burnley
1 : 1 Derby
Page 1 of 6
16 Oct
Burnley
1 : 2 Wolves
13 Oct
Burnley
2 : 2 Charlton
19 Sept
Burnley
1 : 1 Derby
05 Sept
Burnley
1 : 2 Bristol City
02 Sept
Burnley
1 : 1 Middlesbrough
Page 1 of 3
Middlesbrough
(Away) 23 Oct
Bolton
1 : 5 Middlesbrough
17 Oct
Middlesbrough
2 : 2 Cardiff
13 Oct
Stoke City
2 : 3 Middlesbrough
10 Oct
Middlesbrough
1 : 0 Wolves
19 Sept
Birmingham
2 : 2 Middlesbrough
Page 1 of 6
23 Oct
Bolton
1 : 5 Middlesbrough
13 Oct
Stoke City
2 : 3 Middlesbrough
19 Sept
Birmingham
2 : 2 Middlesbrough
08 Sept
Crystal Palace
3 : 0 Middlesbrough
05 Sept
QPR
0 : 1 Middlesbrough
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 30:17 | 28 |
| 2 | Swansea | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 20:13 | 26 |
| 3 | Wolves | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 23:16 | 24 |
| 4 | West Brom | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 19:14 | 24 |
| 5 | Southampton | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 28:13 | 23 |
| 6 | Birmingham | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 7 | Stoke City | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 20:16 | 23 |
| 8 | West Ham | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 33:18 | 22 |
| 9 | QPR | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 10 | Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 17:15 | 19 |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16:15 | 19 |
| 12 | Millwall | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 23:21 | 18 |
| 13 | Blackburn | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 19:20 | 18 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 15 | Norwich | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 23:24 | 15 |
| 16 | Lincoln City | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14:23 | 15 |
| 17 | Cardiff | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 19:20 | 14 |
| 18 | Wrexham | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 19 | Bolton | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 18:26 | 14 |
| 20 | Charlton | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11:21 | 14 |
| 21 | Watford | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 22 | Burnley | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 17:25 | 9 |
| 23 | Derby | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11:25 | 7 |
| 24 | Preston | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10:27 | 5 |
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
