Sport Picks
Burnley vs Notts County
England
EFL Cup Turf Moor, Burnley 
Match Events
24'
24'
Gibbons J.
42'
42'
Roberts C.
Assist: Tsaroulla N.
48'
48'
Flemming Z.
Assist: Edwards M.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
35%
49%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Notts County
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Notts County carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Notts County a 49% chance of winning this.
- Notts County arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Burnley, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Burnley Clean Sheet 16%
Notts County Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Burnley | Notts County |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 2 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 18 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.96 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.07 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 EFL Cup
Burnley vs Notts County
2:1
Apr 8, 2000 League One
Burnley vs Notts County
2:1
Jan 3, 2000 League One
Notts County vs Burnley
2:0
Apr 3, 1999 League One
Notts County vs Burnley
0:0
Oct 17, 1998 League One
Burnley vs Notts County
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Burnley Compare
Top Goalscorer Flemming Z.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Notts County Compare
Top Goalscorer Roberts C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Burnley 23 / 100
Notts County 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Burnley Notts County
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Notts County Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:4
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Burnley's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Notts County let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Solid form: Burnley remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Burnley VS Notts County
1.13 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Burnley
(Home) 02 Sept
Burnley
1 : 1 Middlesbrough
29 Aug
Norwich
4 : 1 Burnley
26 Aug
Bradford City
1 : 0 Burnley
23 Aug
West Brom
3 : 1 Burnley
16 Aug
Burnley
2 : 2 West Ham
Page 1 of 6
02 Sept
Burnley
1 : 1 Middlesbrough
16 Aug
Burnley
2 : 2 West Ham
08 Aug
Burnley
2 : 1 Notts County
02 Aug
Burnley
0 : 1 Torino
29 Jul
Burnley
2 : 2 Espanyol
Page 1 of 3
Notts County
(Away) 01 Sept
Doncaster
1 : 1 Notts County
29 Aug
Notts County
2 : 1 Burton
22 Aug
Luton
2 : 2 Notts County
15 Aug
Notts County
1 : 1 Leicester
08 Aug
Burnley
2 : 1 Notts County
Page 1 of 6
01 Sept
Doncaster
1 : 1 Notts County
22 Aug
Luton
2 : 2 Notts County
08 Aug
Burnley
2 : 1 Notts County
01 Aug
Walsall
0 : 0 Notts County
14 Jul
Randers FC
3 : 1 Notts County
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
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Stockport County 1
Doncaster 2
Middlesbrough 1
Wrexham 0
Manchester United -
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Brighton -
Manchester City -
TBD -
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Cardiff 3
Swindon 2
Norwich 4
Milton Keynes Dons 1
Sunderland -
TBD -
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Stoke City 2
Oldham 0
TBD -
Hull City -
Plymouth 2
Exeter 0
TBD -
Coventry -
TBD -
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Aston Villa -
Chelsea -
TBD -
Gillingham 0
Luton 3
Nottingham -
TBD -
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Leeds -
Ipswich -
TBD -
Leicester 1
Northampton 0
TBD -
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Arsenal -
Colchester 0
Southampton 2
West Ham 3
Portsmouth 1
Fulham -
TBD -
AFC Wimbledon 2
Newport 1
Bournemouth -
TBD -
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Grimsby 1
Blackpool 3
Derby 1
Lincoln City 2
Liverpool -
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Tottenham -
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Cheltenham 1
Charlton 3
Cambridge Utd 2
Barnet 1
QPR 1
Millwall 2
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Rotherham 1
West Brom 4
Fleetwood Town 1
Chesterfield 0
Salford 1
Shrewsbury 2
Burton 1
Blackburn 2
Mansfield 0
Sheffield Utd 3
Preston 2
Huddersfield 1
TBD -
Everton -
Sheffield Wed 1
Bolton 0
Wolves 3
Port Vale 0
Bristol City 0
Walsall 1
Leyton Orient 2
Oxford Utd 0
Bradford City 2
Rochdale 0
Burnley 2
Notts County 1
Wycombe 1
Stevenage 2
Bromley 1
Reading 2
Swansea 0
Birmingham 1
TBD -
Brentford -
Watford 1
Crawley Town 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Peterborough 1
Barnsley 2
Wigan 1
Crewe 2
Accrington 1
1/32-finals
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
Doncaster 1
Middlesbrough 3
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Manchester City -
TBD -
Cardiff 1
Norwich 2
Sunderland -
TBD -
Stoke City 1
Hull City 2
Plymouth 2
Coventry 4
TBD -
Aston Villa -
Chelsea 2
Luton 0
Nottingham 0
Leeds 2
Ipswich 3
Leicester 1
TBD -
Arsenal -
Southampton 1
West Ham 4
Fulham 3
AFC Wimbledon 0
Bournemouth -
TBD -
Blackpool 1
Lincoln City 4
Liverpool -
TBD -
Tottenham 5
Charlton 1
Cambridge Utd 0
Millwall 1
Newcastle Utd 3
West Brom 2
Fleetwood Town 4
Shrewsbury 0
Blackburn 1
Sheffield Utd 2
Preston 0
Everton 4
Sheffield Wed 0
Wolves 2
Walsall 0
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 1
Burnley 0
Stevenage 0
Reading 3
Birmingham 1
Brentford 6
Watford 1
Peterborough 5
Barnsley 3
Crewe 2
1/16-finals
Crystal Palace -
Middlesbrough -
Manchester United -
Brighton -
Manchester City -
Norwich -
Sunderland -
Hull City -
Coventry -
Aston Villa -
Chelsea -
Leeds -
Ipswich -
Arsenal -
West Ham -
Fulham -
Bournemouth -
Lincoln City -
Liverpool -
Tottenham -
Millwall -
Newcastle Utd -
Fleetwood Town -
Sheffield Utd -
Everton -
Wolves -
Leyton Orient -
Bradford City -
Reading -
Brentford -
Peterborough -
Barnsley -
1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
TBD -
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Semi-finals
TBD -
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Final
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