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Burnley vs West Ham - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Championship Turf Moor, Burnley
Burnley Logo

Burnley

2 - 2
FT
West Ham Logo

West Ham

Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Kilman M.
Assist: Bowen J.
33'
Kante M.
46'
Sub
Pablo In: Ward-Prowse J.
Out: Pablo
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Championship matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Burnley
35%
Draws
45%
West Ham
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: West Ham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to West Ham lately — more wins on the board than Burnley.
  • West Ham are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Burnley Clean Sheet 10%
West Ham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burnley West Ham
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 2 12
Draws 11 9
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.07 2.21
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Championship
Burnley vs West Ham
2:2
Feb 7, 2026 Premier League
Burnley vs West Ham
0:2
Nov 8, 2025 Premier League
West Ham vs Burnley
3:2
Mar 10, 2024 Premier League
West Ham vs Burnley
2:2
Nov 25, 2023 Premier League
Burnley vs West Ham
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Burnley Compare

Top Goalscorer Flemming Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

West Ham Compare

Top Goalscorer Kilman M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Solomon M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burnley 14 / 100
West Ham 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burnley West Ham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick West Ham Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Burnley scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

West Ham has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Burnley has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Burnley VS West Ham
1.38 Goals Scored 2.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Burnley

(Home)
03 Nov
QPR
1 : 1
Burnley
31 Oct
Burnley
0 : 0
Portsmouth
24 Oct
Lincoln City
4 : 1
Burnley
16 Oct
Burnley
1 : 2
Wolves
13 Oct
Burnley
2 : 2
Charlton
Page 1 of 6

West Ham

(Away)
04 Nov
Cardiff
3 : 3
West Ham
31 Oct
West Ham
1 : 3
West Brom
24 Oct
West Ham
2 : 3
Southampton
17 Oct
Swansea
0 : 1
West Ham
14 Oct
Lincoln City
0 : 6
West Ham
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough 14 8 4 2 30:19 28
2 Wolves 14 8 3 3 25:17 27
3 Birmingham 14 7 5 2 26:13 26
4 Stoke City 14 8 2 4 22:17 26
5 Swansea 14 8 2 4 21:16 26
6 West Brom 14 7 4 3 20:15 25
7 Southampton 14 8 4 2 29:14 24
8 West Ham 14 6 5 3 36:21 23
9 Sheffield Utd 14 6 4 4 20:17 22
10 Portsmouth 14 6 4 4 19:16 22
11 QPR 14 5 6 3 22:17 21
12 Norwich 14 6 0 8 27:24 18
13 Millwall 14 5 3 6 23:24 18
14 Blackburn 14 5 3 6 20:22 18
15 Bristol City 14 5 3 6 16:19 18
16 Wrexham 14 4 5 5 17:19 17
17 Bolton 14 5 2 7 19:26 17
18 Cardiff 14 3 6 5 22:23 15
19 Lincoln City 14 4 3 7 14:24 15
20 Watford 14 4 2 8 13:23 14
21 Charlton 14 3 5 6 11:22 14
22 Burnley 14 1 7 6 18:26 10
23 Derby 14 1 4 9 11:29 7
24 Preston 14 1 2 11 12:30 5
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