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Burnley vs Wolves - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Championship Turf Moor, Burnley
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Burnley host Wolves in the Championship. Wolves are expected to control this from the start. Recent numbers: Burnley at 0.96 goals for, 2.04 against; Wolves at 1.42 for, 1.31 against. Head-to-head, Burnley have won 1 to Wolves's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on May 24, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (0.94 - 1.75) back Wolves to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Burnley
35%
Draws
45%
Wolves
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Wolves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Wolves carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 45% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Burnley Clean Sheet 12%
Wolves Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burnley Wolves
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 1 11
Draws 9 6
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 0.96 1.42
Goals Conceded 2.04 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Premier League
Burnley vs Wolves
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 Premier League
Wolves vs Burnley
2:3
Aug 28, 2024 EFL Cup
Wolves vs Burnley
2:0
Apr 2, 2024 Premier League
Burnley vs Wolves
1:1
Dec 5, 2023 Premier League
Wolves vs Burnley
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burnley 35 / 100
Wolves 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burnley Wolves

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wolves Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Burnley scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Wolves's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 26 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Burnley has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Burnley VS Wolves
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Burnley

(Home)
19 Sept
Burnley
1 : 1
Derby
12 Sept
Swansea
3 : 1
Burnley
08 Sept
Wrexham
1 : 1
Burnley
05 Sept
Burnley
1 : 2
Bristol City
02 Sept
Burnley
1 : 1
Middlesbrough
Page 1 of 6

Wolves

(Away)
20 Sept
Wolves
1 : 0
West Brom
16 Sept
Everton
1 : 0
Wolves
13 Sept
Sheffield Utd
0 : 1
Wolves
06 Sept
Birmingham
2 : 2
Wolves
01 Sept
West Ham
4 : 2
Wolves
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Swansea 8 5 2 1 13:6 17
2 West Ham 9 4 4 1 23:12 16
3 Middlesbrough 8 4 3 1 16:12 15
4 Wolves 7 4 2 1 15:10 14
5 QPR 9 3 5 1 11:8 14
6 West Brom 8 4 2 2 10:8 14
7 Stoke City 8 4 1 3 13:12 13
8 Bristol City 8 4 1 3 11:12 13
9 Charlton 8 3 3 2 7:10 12
10 Birmingham 8 2 5 1 12:11 11
11 Millwall 8 3 2 3 15:15 11
12 Lincoln City 8 3 2 3 7:8 11
13 Southampton 8 4 2 2 19:10 10
14 Wrexham 8 2 4 2 9:12 10
15 Bolton 8 3 1 4 11:15 10
16 Blackburn 8 2 3 3 12:12 9
17 Norwich 8 3 0 5 16:17 9
18 Sheffield Utd 8 2 3 3 9:11 9
19 Portsmouth 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
20 Watford 8 2 2 4 7:10 8
21 Cardiff 8 1 4 3 10:12 7
22 Derby 8 1 2 5 7:14 5
23 Preston 8 1 1 6 8:15 4
24 Burnley 8 0 4 4 9:17 4
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)