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Burnley W vs Middlesbrough W

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Women's National League North 2021/2022
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AI Match Summary

The Women's National League North 2021/2022 game between Burnley W and Middlesbrough W finished 6-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Burnley W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Burnley W
20%
Draws
48%
Middlesbrough W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Middlesbrough W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Burnley W come out ahead of Middlesbrough W on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Women's National League North 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Burnley W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Burnley W Clean Sheet 20%
Middlesbrough W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burnley W Middlesbrough W
Matches Played 39 32
Wins 30 13
Draws 5 8
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 3.1 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.62 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 7, 2025 Women's National League North
Middlesbrough W vs Burnley W
1:3
Aug 17, 2025 Women's National League North
Burnley W vs Middlesbrough W
5:0
May 8, 2022 Women's National League North
Burnley W vs Middlesbrough W
6:1
Jan 9, 2022 Women's National League North
Middlesbrough W vs Burnley W
1:3
Oct 4, 2020 Women's National League North
Middlesbrough W vs Burnley W
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burnley W 32 / 100
Middlesbrough W 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burnley W Middlesbrough W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Burnley W scored in 85% of their last 39 games.

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Middlesbrough W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.

Middlesbrough W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Burnley W VS Middlesbrough W
2.13 Goals Scored 0.75
0.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Burnley W

(Home)
18 Sept
Wolverhampton W
3 : 0
Burnley W
13 Sept
Burnley W
1 : 2
Sunderland W
04 Sept
Watford W
0 : 0
Burnley W
30 Aug
Newcastle Utd W
3 : 1
Burnley W
29 Jul
Valencia W
0 : 0
Burnley W
Page 1 of 8

Middlesbrough W

(Away)
20 Sept
Liverpool Feds W
1 : 0
Middlesbrough W
13 Sept
Middlesbrough W
0 : 2
Rugby Borough W
30 Aug
Derby W
1 : 0
Middlesbrough W
23 Aug
Middlesbrough W
1 : 0
West Brom W
16 Aug
Boldmere St Michaels W
1 : 0
Middlesbrough W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wolverhampton W 24 18 5 1 61:16 59
2 Derby W 24 16 3 5 48:19 51
3 AFC Fylde W 24 14 5 5 47:28 47
4 Burnley W 24 14 4 6 70:27 46
5 Nottingham W 24 13 5 6 40:17 44
6 Huddersfield W 24 13 4 7 54:28 43
7 Brighouse Town W 24 11 7 6 51:31 40
8 West Brom W 24 7 7 10 29:44 28
9 Stoke City LFC W 24 8 1 15 36:54 25
10 Loughborough Lightning W 24 6 5 13 35:63 23
11 Middlesbrough W 24 5 3 16 27:67 18
12 Hull City W 24 2 3 19 18:72 9
13 Sheffield FC W 24 2 2 20 13:63 8
Promotion - Women's National League 2021/2022 (Main)