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Burreli vs Beselidhja Lezha - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Burreli host Beselidhja Lezha in the Kategoria e Parë. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Burreli at 1.03 goals for, 1.44 against; Beselidhja Lezha at 0.55 for, 1.45 against. Past meetings favor Burreli slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 1, 2023, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.44, favoring Burreli. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Burreli
30%
Draws
41%
Beselidhja Lezha
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Beselidhja Lezha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Beselidhja Lezha haven't matched Burreli's recent run of results.
  • Burreli are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Burreli Clean Sheet 16%
Beselidhja Lezha Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burreli Beselidhja Lezha
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 8 4
Draws 9 8
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1.03 0.55
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2023 Kategoria e Parë
Burreli vs Beselidhja Lezha
0:0
Oct 29, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Beselidhja Lezha vs Burreli
1:1
Feb 19, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Burreli vs Beselidhja Lezha
3:0
Oct 17, 2021 Kategoria e Parë
Beselidhja Lezha vs Burreli
0:5
Oct 14, 2021 Albanian Cup
Burreli vs Beselidhja Lezha
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burreli 36 / 100
Beselidhja Lezha 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burreli Beselidhja Lezha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Beselidhja Lezha let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Burreli went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Burreli's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Burreli VS Beselidhja Lezha
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Burreli

(Home)
07 Oct
Burreli
2 : 3
Eagle FA
20 Sept
KF Oriku
0 : 1
Burreli
16 Sept
Burreli
1 : 3
Sopoti Librazhd
11 Sept
Flamurtari
1 : 1
Burreli
06 Sept
Burreli
2 : 2
Kastrioti
Page 1 of 7

Beselidhja Lezha

(Away)
06 Oct
Beselidhja Lezha
2 : 1
Sopoti Librazhd
20 Sept
Beselidhja Lezha
2 : 1
Besa Kavaje
16 Sept
Bylis
0 : 0
Beselidhja Lezha
12 Sept
Beselidhja Lezha
1 : 2
Korabi Peshkopi
05 Sept
Kukesi
2 : 0
Beselidhja Lezha
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pogradeci 4 2 2 0 5:1 8
2 Besa Kavaje 4 2 1 1 13:5 7
3 Korabi Peshkopi 4 2 1 1 4:5 7
4 Iliria Kruja 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
5 Bylis 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
6 Kukesi 4 2 0 2 6:6 6
7 Kastrioti 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
8 Burreli 4 1 2 1 5:6 5
9 Sopoti Librazhd 4 1 2 1 5:7 5
10 Beselidhja Lezha 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
11 Flamurtari 4 0 3 1 4:5 3
12 KF Oriku 4 0 0 4 1:9 0
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë (Relegation)