Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Burreli vs Kukesi

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 Liri Ballabani Stadium, Burrel
Our Tip

Match Events

81'
Lleshaj A.
81'
Lleshaj A.
84'
Xhakaj I.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Burreli
15%
Draws
51%
Kukesi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kukesi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Kukesi at 1.13 per game, Burreli at 1.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Burreli Clean Sheet 10%
Kukesi Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burreli Kukesi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 8 5
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Burreli vs Kukesi
0:0
Nov 29, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Kukesi vs Burreli
2:0
Aug 30, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Burreli vs Kukesi
2:0
Apr 20, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Kukesi vs Burreli
1:2
Feb 8, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Kukesi vs Burreli
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burreli 30 / 100
Kukesi 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burreli Kukesi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kukesi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kukesi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Kukesi registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Burreli scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Burreli VS Kukesi
1.14 Goals Scored 1.63
2.57 Goals Conceded 1.63
71% Over 1.5 100%
57% Over 2.5 63%
43% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Burreli

(Home)
03 May
Apolonia Fier
4 : 4
Burreli
25 Apr
Burreli
1 : 0
Lushnja
19 Apr
AF Luftetari
2 : 0
Burreli
11 Apr
Burreli
0 : 1
Skenderbeu Korca
04 Apr
Laci
3 : 1
Burreli
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Kukesi

(Away)
12 Aug
Kukesi
1 : 4
Besa Kavaje
08 Aug
Maliqi
1 : 3
Kukesi
05 Aug
Skenderbeu Korca
2 : 1
Kukesi
25 Jul
Laci
3 : 1
Kukesi
28 May
Kukesi
2 : 0
Butrinti Sarande
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Laci 33 24 7 2 60:23 79
2 Skenderbeu Korca 33 24 5 4 57:25 77
3 Pogradeci 33 20 8 5 63:31 68
4 Iliria Kruja 33 11 12 10 32:33 45
5 Besa Kavaje 33 10 9 14 41:43 39
6 Kastrioti 33 11 6 16 44:57 39
7 Burreli 33 9 10 14 27:45 37
8 Korabi Peshkopi 33 8 12 13 31:39 36
9 AF Luftetari 33 7 13 13 37:43 34
10 Kukesi 33 8 7 18 31:50 31
11 Apolonia Fier 33 6 10 17 31:44 28
12 Lushnja 33 5 11 17 26:47 26
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 (Relegation)