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Bursa Yildirimspor vs Etimesgut - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 2
Wed, Nov 11, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bursa Yildirimspor host Etimesgut in the 3. Lig Group 2. Little to choose between these two on current form. Bursa Yildirimspor have averaged 1.43 scored and 1.07 conceded recently, against Etimesgut's 1.29 scored and 1 conceded. Past meetings favor Bursa Yildirimspor slightly — 0-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.38) point toward Bursa Yildirimspor. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Bursa Yildirimspor
35%
Draws
23%
Etimesgut
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bursa Yildirimspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Bursa Yildirimspor haven't matched Etimesgut's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Bursa Yildirimspor a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Bursa Yildirimspor Clean Sheet 17%
Etimesgut Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bursa Yildirimspor Etimesgut
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 14
Draws 12 9
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 1.43 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.07 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 3. Lig Group 1
Bursa Yildirimspor vs Etimesgut
1:1
Nov 9, 2025 3. Lig Group 1
Etimesgut vs Bursa Yildirimspor
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bursa Yildirimspor 57 / 100
Etimesgut 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bursa Yildirimspor Etimesgut

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bursa Yildirimspor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bursa Yildirimspor scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Bursa Yildirimspor went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Etimesgut has conceded goals in 55% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Bursa Yildirimspor VS Etimesgut
1.38 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bursa Yildirimspor

(Home)
01 Nov
Bursa Yildirimspor
1 : 1
Balikesirspor
28 Oct
Sakaryaspor
2 : 3
Bursa Yildirimspor
24 Oct
Eskisehirspor
2 : 2
Bursa Yildirimspor
18 Oct
Bursa Yildirimspor
1 : 1
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
11 Oct
Alanya 1221
0 : 1
Bursa Yildirimspor
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Etimesgut

(Away)
01 Nov
Bigaspor
1 : 0
Etimesgut
27 Oct
Etimesgut
0 : 4
Gaziantep
24 Oct
Aksehirspor
0 : 2
Etimesgut
18 Oct
Etimesgut
2 : 2
Balikesirspor
11 Oct
Eskisehirspor
1 : 1
Etimesgut
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gemlikspor 9 6 3 0 19:4 21
2 Eskisehirspor 9 5 3 1 28:10 18
3 Eskisehir Anadolu 9 5 3 1 17:6 18
4 Ayvalikgucu 9 5 3 1 14:8 18
5 Balikesirspor 9 5 2 2 25:16 17
6 Etimesgut 9 5 2 2 12:5 17
7 Bigaspor 9 5 2 2 16:11 17
8 Bursa Yildirimspor 9 4 5 0 11:6 17
9 Karsiyaka 9 4 3 2 13:6 15
10 Gaziemir Spor Kulubu 9 3 1 5 10:16 10
11 Altay 9 2 4 3 8:15 10
12 Kepez Bld. 9 2 2 5 7:13 8
13 Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 9 1 4 4 9:13 7
14 Soke 1970 9 1 4 4 12:19 7
15 Bucaspor 1928 9 2 0 7 9:16 6
16 Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu 9 1 3 5 6:20 6
17 Aksehirspor 9 1 1 7 6:21 4
18 Alanya 1221 9 1 1 7 5:22 4
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 (Play Offs)