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Bursa Yildirimspor vs Yesil Yalova FK

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bursa Yildirimspor play Yesil Yalova FK in the 3. Lig Group 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Bursa Yildirimspor averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Yesil Yalova FK averaged 1 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, Bursa Yildirimspor won 1, Yesil Yalova FK won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 31, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Bursa Yildirimspor and 1.06 for Yesil Yalova FK. This points to a Bursa Yildirimspor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Bursa Yildirimspor
17%
Draws
13%
Yesil Yalova FK
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Bursa Yildirimspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Bursa Yildirimspor has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Yesil Yalova FK.
  • Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for Bursa Yildirimspor.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in 3. Lig Group 1 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Bursa Yildirimspor Clean Sheet 68%
Yesil Yalova FK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bursa Yildirimspor Yesil Yalova FK
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 12 9
Draws 10 10
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 3. Lig Group 1
Bursa Yildirimspor vs Yesil Yalova FK
2:1
Sep 28, 2025 3. Lig Group 1
Yesil Yalova FK vs Bursa Yildirimspor
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bursa Yildirimspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Guventurk G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bektas M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Yesil Yalova FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Topatar I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bursa Yildirimspor 77 / 100
Yesil Yalova FK 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bursa Yildirimspor Yesil Yalova FK

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BUR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bursa Yildirimspor scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Yesil Yalova FK let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Bursa Yildirimspor went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Yesil Yalova FK lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bursa Yildirimspor VS Yesil Yalova FK
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inegol Kafkas30188449:2662
2Corluspor30187557:2361
3Kucukcekmece30175854:3056
4Etimesgut301410636:2352
5Bursa Yildirimspor301310738:3149
6Silivrispor301271142:3643
7Beykoz Ishakli Spor30913834:3540
8Bursa Nilufer301081233:4238
9Yesil Yalova FK309101138:3637
10Galata Spor Kulubu301071334:3437
11Bulvarspor30981335:4735
12Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu30714923:3635
13Cankaya FK308101238:3734
14Kestel Cilekspor30861627:3930
151926 Polatli Belediye30771624:4428
16Edirnespor Genclik30362122:6515