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Bursaspor vs Adanaspor AS

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026 Timsah Park
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Demir M.
(Penalty)
45' Event
Aydogdu S.
Assist: Akbunar H.
59' Event
Akbunar H.
Assist: Aydogdu S.

AI Match Summary

The 2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026 game between Bursaspor and Adanaspor AS finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bursaspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Bursaspor
6%
Draws
4%
Adanaspor AS
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bursaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bursaspor come out ahead of Adanaspor AS on wins alone.
  • Bursaspor are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
Bursaspor Clean Sheet 20%
Adanaspor AS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bursaspor Adanaspor AS
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 23 2
Draws 5 1
Losses 5 26
Goals Scored 2 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.25 3.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 3.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 2. Lig Red Group
Bursaspor vs Adanaspor AS
6:0
Sep 21, 2025 2. Lig Red Group
Adanaspor AS vs Bursaspor
0:6
Jan 8, 2022 1. Lig
Adanaspor AS vs Bursaspor
3:1
Aug 15, 2021 1. Lig
Bursaspor vs Adanaspor AS
1:1
Mar 21, 2021 1. Lig
Adanaspor AS vs Bursaspor
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bursaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Aydogdu S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Akbunar H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Adanaspor AS Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bursaspor 85 / 100
Adanaspor AS 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bursaspor Adanaspor AS

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BUR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bursaspor scored in 88% of their last 33 outings.

Adanaspor AS's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Bursaspor has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bursaspor VS Adanaspor AS
2 Goals Scored 0.5
0.25 Goals Conceded 3.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bursaspor34255487:1980
2Mardin 196934225767:2571
3Musspor34217682:3570
4Aliaga34216781:3269
5K. Istklalspor34214982:3367
6Isparta 32 Spor34189770:3663
7Guzide Gebzespor341610856:3158
8Menemenspor341561357:5151
9Ankara Demirspor341471347:4749
10Aksaray Bld.341114952:3847
11Trabzon FK341381354:5147
12Arnavutkoy Bl.341371440:3646
13Fethiyespor3411111252:4144
14Kirklarelispor34991644:4936
15Soma Spor34862041:6830
16Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu33432622:9712
17Adanaspor AS33213014:1591
18Yeni Malatyaspor3402328:114-52