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Bursaspor vs Aksaray Bld. Prediction & H2H Stats

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026 Bursa Büyükşehir Belediye Stadyumu, Bursa
Bursaspor Logo

Bursaspor

6 - 0
FT
Aksaray Bld. Logo

Aksaray Bld.

Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Furat E.
Assist: Akbunar H.
33' Event
Furat E.
Assist: Akbunar H.
36' Event
Depe I.
Assist: Gultekin E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026 game between Bursaspor and Aksaray Bld. finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bursaspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Bursaspor
30%
Draws
27%
Aksaray Bld.
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bursaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bursaspor come out ahead of Aksaray Bld. on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Bursaspor's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular 2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Bursaspor Clean Sheet 68%
Aksaray Bld. Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bursaspor Aksaray Bld.
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 21 9
Draws 6 11
Losses 2 8
Goals Scored 2.28 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.48 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 2. Lig Red Group
Bursaspor vs Aksaray Bld.
6:0
Oct 19, 2025 2. Lig Red Group
Aksaray Bld. vs Bursaspor
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bursaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Furat E.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Depe I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Aksaray Bld. Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bursaspor 77 / 100
Aksaray Bld. 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bursaspor Aksaray Bld.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bursaspor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bursaspor found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Bursaspor stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Aksaray Bld. conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Bursaspor VS Aksaray Bld.
2.5 Goals Scored 1.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bursaspor

(Home)
19 Sept
Batman Petrolspor
1 : 2
Bursaspor
13 Sept
Bursaspor
2 : 2
Erokspor
07 Sept
Manisa FK
1 : 2
Bursaspor
03 Sept
Bursaspor
4 : 0
Istanbulspor AS
29 Aug
Kayserispor
1 : 2
Bursaspor
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Aksaray Bld.

(Away)
27 Sept
Musspor
3 : 2
Aksaray Bld.
20 Sept
Aksaray Bld.
1 : 1
Inegol Kafkas
13 Sept
Aksaray Bld.
3 : 0
Kastamonuspor
06 Sept
Soma Spor
3 : 3
Aksaray Bld.
25 Apr
Yeni Malatyaspor
0 : 3
Aksaray Bld.
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bursaspor 34 25 5 4 87:19 80
2 Mardin 1969 34 22 5 7 67:25 71
3 Musspor 34 21 7 6 82:35 70
4 Aliaga 34 21 6 7 81:32 69
5 K. Istklalspor 34 21 4 9 82:33 67
6 Isparta 32 Spor 34 18 9 7 70:36 63
7 Guzide Gebzespor 34 16 10 8 56:31 58
8 Menemenspor 34 15 6 13 57:51 51
9 Ankara Demirspor 34 14 7 13 47:47 49
10 Aksaray Bld. 34 11 14 9 52:38 47
11 Trabzon FK 34 13 8 13 54:51 47
12 Arnavutkoy Bl. 34 13 7 14 40:36 46
13 Fethiyespor 34 11 11 12 52:41 44
14 Kirklarelispor 34 9 9 16 44:49 36
15 Soma Spor 34 8 6 20 41:68 30
16 Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 33 4 3 26 22:97 12
17 Adanaspor AS 33 2 1 30 14:159 1
18 Yeni Malatyaspor 34 0 2 32 8:114 -52
Promotion - 1. Lig (Main)
Promotion - 2. Lig Play Offs (Main)