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Bursaspor vs Istanbulspor AS

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig Bursa Büyükşehir Belediye Stadyumu, Bursa
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Phellipe
20'
Kanbak B.
21'
Yavru Z.

AI Match Summary

The 1. Lig game between Bursaspor and Istanbulspor AS finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bursaspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Bursaspor
20%
Draws
19%
Istanbulspor AS
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bursaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Bursaspor carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Bursaspor are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 1. Lig form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Bursaspor Clean Sheet 20%
Istanbulspor AS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bursaspor Istanbulspor AS
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 23 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 3 15
Goals Scored 2.44 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.56 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2026 1. Lig
Bursaspor vs Istanbulspor AS
4:0
Apr 15, 2022 1. Lig
Istanbulspor AS vs Bursaspor
3:1
Nov 20, 2021 1. Lig
Bursaspor vs Istanbulspor AS
2:4
Apr 25, 2021 1. Lig
Bursaspor vs Istanbulspor AS
1:2
Dec 20, 2020 1. Lig
Istanbulspor AS vs Bursaspor
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bursaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Iheanacho K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Akbunar H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Istanbulspor AS Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bursaspor 85 / 100
Istanbulspor AS 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bursaspor Istanbulspor AS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bursaspor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bursaspor's goal record stands at 91% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Istanbulspor AS let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Bursaspor has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bursaspor VS Istanbulspor AS
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bursaspor

(Home)
19 Sept
Batman Petrolspor
1 : 2
Bursaspor
13 Sept
Bursaspor
2 : 2
Erokspor
07 Sept
Manisa FK
1 : 2
Bursaspor
03 Sept
Bursaspor
4 : 0
Istanbulspor AS
29 Aug
Kayserispor
1 : 2
Bursaspor
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Istanbulspor AS

(Away)
20 Sept
Manisa FK
0 : 1
Istanbulspor AS
14 Sept
Kayserispor
4 : 0
Istanbulspor AS
07 Sept
Istanbulspor AS
1 : 2
Igdir FK
03 Sept
Bursaspor
4 : 0
Istanbulspor AS
29 Aug
Istanbulspor AS
1 : 1
F. Karagumruk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kayserispor 8 6 1 1 15:3 19
2 Bursaspor 8 6 1 1 16:7 19
3 Igdir FK 8 5 1 2 12:7 16
4 Batman Petrolspor 8 5 1 2 15:13 16
5 Sariyer 8 4 2 2 11:9 14
6 Keciorengucu 8 3 4 1 17:10 13
7 Mardin 1969 8 3 3 2 9:5 12
8 Antalyaspor 8 4 0 4 14:13 12
9 F. Karagumruk 8 3 3 2 12:11 12
10 Muglaspor 8 2 5 1 8:7 11
11 Bandirmaspor 8 2 4 2 12:5 10
12 Pendikspor 8 2 4 2 10:13 10
13 Manisa FK 8 2 3 3 12:12 9
14 Bodrumspor 8 1 5 2 7:6 8
15 Sivasspor 8 1 5 2 9:11 8
16 Umraniyespor 8 1 3 4 6:9 6
17 Erokspor 8 0 5 3 4:10 5
18 Istanbulspor AS 8 1 2 5 7:19 5
19 Vanspor FK 8 1 3 4 8:17 4
20 Boluspor 8 0 1 7 3:20 1
Promotion - Super Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
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Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs)