Sport Picks

Turkey

2. Lig Red Group Timsah Park

Mardin 1969

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bursaspor play Mardin 1969 in the 2. Lig Red Group. It looks like a close match. Recently, Bursaspor averaged 2.48 goals scored and 0.68 conceded. Mardin 1969 averaged 1.77 goals scored and 0.7 conceded. In past meetings, Bursaspor won 2, Mardin 1969 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 4, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Bursaspor and 1.13 for Mardin 1969. This points to a Bursaspor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%

Bursaspor

16%

Draws

36%

Mardin 1969

Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Bursaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence

Bursaspor picked up more points recently compared to Mardin 1969.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 76%

Over 2.5 Goals 63%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35%

Bursaspor Clean Sheet 21%

Mardin 1969 Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Bursaspor	Mardin 1969
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	22	19
Draws	5	5
Losses	4	6
Goals Scored	2.48	1.77
Goals Conceded	0.68	0.7
Expected Goals (xG)	2.25	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.25	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 2. Lig Red Group

Bursaspor vs Mardin 1969

Possession: 44% - 42% Cards: 1 - 2

2:0

Dec 6, 2025 2. Lig Red Group

Mardin 1969 vs Bursaspor

Possession: 53% - 43% Cards: 2 - 4

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bursaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Furat E. I.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Basyigit B.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.73

Avg xA / game 1.13

Mardin 1969 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82

Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bursaspor 47 / 100

Mardin 1969 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Bursaspor Mardin 1969

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Bursaspor or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +20%

2.50

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.3%

1.75

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bursaspor attacking → ← attacking Mardin 1969

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bursaspor scored in 90% of their last 31 games.

Mardin 1969 let in goals in 47% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Bursaspor went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Mardin 1969 lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

71 Points in last 5 62

2.25 Goals expected (xG) 2.00

0.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bursaspor	34	25	5	4	87:19	80
2	Mardin 1969	34	22	5	7	67:25	71
3	Musspor	34	21	7	6	82:35	70
4	Aliaga	34	21	6	7	81:32	69
5	K. Istklalspor	34	21	4	9	82:33	67
6	Isparta 32 Spor	34	18	9	7	70:36	63
7	Guzide Gebzespor	34	16	10	8	56:31	58
8	Menemenspor	34	15	6	13	57:51	51
9	Ankara Demirspor	34	14	7	13	47:47	49
10	Aksaray Bld.	34	11	14	9	52:38	47
11	Trabzon FK	34	13	8	13	54:51	47
12	Arnavutkoy Bl.	34	13	7	14	40:36	46
13	Fethiyespor	34	11	11	12	52:41	44
14	Kirklarelispor	34	9	9	16	44:49	36
15	Soma Spor	34	8	6	20	41:68	30
16	Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu	33	4	3	26	22:97	12
17	Adanaspor AS	33	2	1	30	14:159	1
18	Yeni Malatyaspor	34	0	2	32	8:114	-52