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Burscough vs Chorley

World World

Club Friendly 2024
Wed, Jun 26, 2024
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Burscough host Chorley in the Club Friendly 2024. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Chorley have shipped 1.36 goals a game lately, while Burscough have conceded 1.78 and scored 1.37. Head-to-head, Burscough have won 0 to Chorley's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 26, 2024, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.17 xG vs 0.80) point toward Chorley. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Burscough
20%
Draws
51%
Chorley
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chorley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Burscough come out ahead of Chorley on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Burscough's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Chorley have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Burscough Clean Sheet 20%
Chorley Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burscough Chorley
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 9 8
Draws 5 6
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.37 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.78 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2024 Club Friendly
Burscough vs Chorley
0:0
Oct 1, 2011 NPL Premier Division
Chorley vs Burscough
2:1
Sep 14, 2011 NPL Premier Division
Burscough vs Chorley
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burscough 58 / 100
Chorley 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burscough Chorley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burscough Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chorley's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Burscough's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Recent resilience: Burscough stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Chorley
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Burscough

(Home)
12 Jul
Airbus UK Broughton FC
4 : 3
Burscough
20 Jul
Burscough
6 : 1
Atherton Rovers
16 Jul
Burscough
1 : 2
Morecambe
13 Jul
Sandbach United
1 : 1
Burscough
09 Jul
Burscough
0 : 1
Bootle
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Chorley

(Away)
19 Sept
Warrington Rylands
0 : 1
Chorley
12 Sept
King’s Lynn
2 : 0
Chorley
08 Sept
Chorley
5 : 2
Darlington FC
05 Sept
Oxford City
4 : 0
Chorley
31 Aug
Chorley
2 : 2
Brackley
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