Sport Picks
Burton vs AFC Wimbledon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
League One Pirelli Stadium, Burton upon Trent 
Match Events
18'
18'
Stockley J.
Assist: Tilley J.
28'
28'
Evans G.
34'
34'
Smith A.
Own Goal
AI Match Summary
The League One game between Burton and AFC Wimbledon finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Burton.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
30%
12%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Burton
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Burton's 1.04 goals per match outpaces what AFC Wimbledon have produced (0.72).
- Win probability leans Burton's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Burton Clean Sheet 68%
AFC Wimbledon Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Burton | AFC Wimbledon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 7 |
| Draws | 12 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.04 | 0.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.66 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 2, 2026 League One
Burton vs AFC Wimbledon
4:1
Apr 11, 2026 League One
Burton vs AFC Wimbledon
1:0
Oct 25, 2025 League One
AFC Wimbledon vs Burton
0:1
Jan 22, 2022 League One
Burton vs AFC Wimbledon
1:1
Oct 2, 2021 League One
AFC Wimbledon vs Burton
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Burton Compare
Top Goalscorer Evans G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Webster C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
AFC Wimbledon Compare
Top Goalscorer Stockley J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Burton 95 / 100
AFC Wimbledon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Burton AFC Wimbledon
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Burton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Burton's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Defensive concern: AFC Wimbledon conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Burton went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Burton VS AFC Wimbledon
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Burton
(Home) 31 Oct
Wycombe
2 : 0 Burton
24 Oct
Burton
2 : 1 Leyton Orient
20 Oct
Burton
0 : 0 Bradford City
17 Oct
Peterborough
2 : 2 Burton
10 Oct
Doncaster
1 : 0 Burton
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
Burton
2 : 1 Leyton Orient
20 Oct
Burton
0 : 0 Bradford City
03 Oct
Burton
1 : 3 Huddersfield
22 Sept
Burton
1 : 2 Nottingham U21
19 Sept
Burton
2 : 2 Mansfield
Page 1 of 3
AFC Wimbledon
(Away) 31 Oct
Stockport County
2 : 1 AFC Wimbledon
27 Oct
AFC Wimbledon
1 : 2 Arsenal U21
24 Oct
AFC Wimbledon
1 : 1 Wycombe
20 Oct
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 3 Mansfield
17 Oct
Sheffield Wed
5 : 0 AFC Wimbledon
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Stockport County
2 : 1 AFC Wimbledon
17 Oct
Sheffield Wed
5 : 0 AFC Wimbledon
10 Oct
Plymouth
2 : 1 AFC Wimbledon
26 Sept
Cambridge Utd
1 : 1 AFC Wimbledon
07 Sept
Bromley
0 : 2 AFC Wimbledon
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 28:12 | 29 |
| 2 | Stockport County | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 26:14 | 26 |
| 3 | Oxford Utd | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 22:11 | 26 |
| 4 | Luton | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27:21 | 24 |
| 5 | Plymouth | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21:19 | 23 |
| 6 | Reading | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25:15 | 22 |
| 7 | Bradford City | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 10:8 | 22 |
| 8 | Cambridge Utd | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 21:21 | 21 |
| 9 | Sheffield Wed | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 22:14 | 20 |
| 10 | Leicester | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 22:19 | 19 |
| 11 | Mansfield | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20:18 | 19 |
| 12 | Milton Keynes Dons | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22:20 | 18 |
| 13 | Wycombe | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 21:23 | 18 |
| 14 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 19:14 | 17 |
| 15 | Burton | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18:21 | 17 |
| 16 | Stevenage | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 17:13 | 16 |
| 17 | Notts County | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13:14 | 14 |
| 18 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 9:21 | 13 |
| 19 | Blackpool | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 17:21 | 12 |
| 20 | Doncaster | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14:22 | 12 |
| 21 | Wigan | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 22 | Peterborough | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11:23 | 10 |
| 23 | Barnsley | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12:22 | 9 |
| 24 | Bromley | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13:33 | 9 |
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
