Sport Picks
Match Events
7'
7'
Sub
O'Connell E. In: Bland J.
Out: O'Connell E.
11'
11'
Connell L.
46'
46'
Sub
Krubally S. In: Webster C.
Out: Krubally S.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this League One 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
39%
30%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Barnsley lately — more wins on the board than Burton.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular League One 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Burton Clean Sheet 23%
Barnsley Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Burton | Barnsley |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 7 | 8 |
| Draws | 10 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.5 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 3, 2026 League One
Burton vs Barnsley
1:1
Aug 9, 2025 League One
Barnsley vs Burton
3:2
Feb 1, 2025 League One
Barnsley vs Burton
0:0
Sep 21, 2024 League One
Burton vs Barnsley
1:2
Apr 1, 2024 League One
Burton vs Barnsley
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Burton Compare
Top Goalscorer Webster C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25
Barnsley Compare
Top Goalscorer McGoldrick D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Burton 33 / 100
Barnsley 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Burton Barnsley
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Barnsley conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.
Attacking prowess: Burton scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Burton went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Burton VS Barnsley
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Burton
(Home) 22 Jul
Burton
0 : 1 Birmingham
18 Jul
Burton
0 : 3 Leicester
11 Jul
Alfreton
0 : 0 Burton
02 May
Leyton Orient
2 : 2 Burton
25 Apr
Burton
1 : 1 Exeter
Page 1 of 6
22 Jul
Burton
0 : 1 Birmingham
18 Jul
Burton
0 : 3 Leicester
25 Apr
Burton
1 : 1 Exeter
11 Apr
Burton
1 : 0 AFC Wimbledon
03 Apr
Burton
1 : 1 Barnsley
Page 1 of 3
Barnsley
(Away) 25 Jul
Scarborough Athletic
0 : 2 Barnsley
18 Jul
Blackburn
3 : 0 Barnsley
11 Jul
York City
2 : 1 Barnsley
04 Jul
Matlock
0 : 2 Barnsley
02 May
Barnsley
1 : 3 Stockport County
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Scarborough Athletic
0 : 2 Barnsley
18 Jul
Blackburn
3 : 0 Barnsley
11 Jul
York City
2 : 1 Barnsley
04 Jul
Matlock
0 : 2 Barnsley
28 Apr
Northampton
0 : 1 Barnsley
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | 35 |
Promotion - Championship (Main)
Promotion - League One 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two (Main)
